North Balti Zen

1 hour ago, DDweatherman said:

We didn’t think a model run posted live by WW was the answer to good juju did we? 

WW knocking people out of the way like Costanza at a kids party to get to the keyboard to declare any hope dead. He revels in this. 

I mean...it is pretty clear that all the other guidance made a major move to the GFS. Obviously them meeting in the middle even now wouldn't be great, but I don't see any reason to think this thing has no chance based on the 12z suite, looks to me like a good argument to be made that the GFS is leading the way. 

Just now, nj2va said:

Yeah, we don't need the constant reminders its on its own...lets just weenie out and dream.  

Right? It's five days away - given where we were 24 hours ago when everyone was dunking on the idea of the event/thread (and, with reason, really) - this is a delightful turn of events - been like 18 hours of being able to hope a little - and given that we are in a fallow tracking period - that's a fookin' great thing. 

On balance, it is a TON more fun to have one of the majors doing this five days from an event even if it is on an island - just fun to dream a bit - especially given that this is still the period before THE PERIOD OF INTEREST. 

Just now, Terpeast said:

Let's temper our expectations. The GFS is on its own with the snowy solution. CMC did shift further south, so maybe it's onto something like resolving the s/w spacing, confluence, etc. Need to see the Euro blink, though

Someone mentioned Jan '22 and those of us north of 695 got like a quarter inch from that while you all in the beltways south basked in a legit huge snow so...my expectations are pretty damn low lol...but would so super cool for the GFS to have sniffed one out and also would be cool if it could get a ton of the forum too...

3 hours ago, nj2va said:

Sunrise alert.  Gorgeous oranges, pinks and purples.

You were not kidding - definitely got some pics on the morning NCR walk with the pups.

27 degrees. 

Kiss.

the chili peppers suggested to suck your kiss…

Close it and do NOT start another...

I mean, the scenario where it bombs out and blankets interior New England is of interest to make the arrival of cold air here after easier IMO.  Could be I am talking out of my hindquarters, but...still. 

Board - "WE WANT DIGITAL BLUE"

GFS - ok, here you go, three times in a row

Board - "NOT LIKE THAT"

Oof - 20 degrees on the morning walk. Legit cold feeling.

3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I thought someone said the control run is the EURO at lower resolution but will soon be taking over as the main EURO models at a higher resolution.

They did. You gonna drop one from 48 hours ago this time?

WW got his fingers hitting refresh to put up how there is no support for anything as fast as possible when the GEFS come out...

2 hours ago, aldie 22 said:

Talking suppression, dry and March....should be fun reading when the kids get home from school today 

Still shoveling beautiful projected pattern tho. So we go that going for us. 

23 on the morning walk.

We’ve shoveled some epic pattern this year. Even more than the epic pattern chases of winter of ‘21. Can’t wait to gather the young’uns in the village when I am a respected elder and spin them the tales of all the blues and reds in the right places and glorious that was. 
 

“did it snow?” the kids will ask

”oh my no” I will chuckle - “ but my god , did you not hear me? The pattern!”

Six mile hike and three mile walk (the latter with the dogs) yesterday - today 5 miles at lake Roland this AM and now about to knock out five more at Oregon Ridge - was 30 degrees at 9 am at lake Roland (mt. Washington) area of north Baltimore - now at 43 at Oregon Ridge. Gorgeous blue skies, no wind. Oregon Ridge is packed with families and walkers. 

24 degrees on the 6 am walk with the dogs on the ncr trail - wasn’t expecting it to be that cold.

Trading for guys in their walk year like Burnes and going after a WS title is what big boy franchises do. And if he walks after this year, which he probably will given Boras as his agent, given the light prospect haul sent for him, it is 100% the right thing to do. The first actual "we are going for it" move. Love it. 

8 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I'm making popcorn to see who cracks first on the potential pattern change. Easy money is on Ji but don't underestimate someone like Heisy or Terpeast getting jumpy 

Terpeast may be the new betting favorite. I am impressed at his quickness to panic. 

Bob canceled winter until March 20, right?

(kidding)

but weird dynamic to see psu playing voice of optimistic reason. Like they switched good cop/bad cop roles…

Low of 27 - def freezing fog up my way in northern Baltimore County. Every field sporting frosted tips like a Jersey Shore/Guy Fieri mash-up.

9 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Brownsville dealing with suppression issues 

It’s a hard damn world.

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I can't believe it's almost February and I have to start planning inventory forecasts for the holiday season already.

I can see the back edge of winter 26/27 already. Hope winter of '27/'28 is better.

6 hours ago, Ji said:

What happened to mid February?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

I stand with Ji. Can we add “mid and” to the thread title?