North Balti Zen

I think he’s awful, actually.

Time to break out the thongs and banana hammocks really.

12 degrees in Fallston. Feels like 2. Ready for the dry slot and light snizzle.

WxUSAF suggests hold on til this PM so hold we shall.

The sledding for kids and kids at heart who don’t have bad hips is gonna be all time epic - that much sleet on top of whatever base of snow is gonna be perfection for any sized hill.

Mods - time for a separate obs thread for temps and radar hallucinations and then precip stuff as the storm arrives? would keep this thread clean for the NAM cliffdivers to die in peace….

8 degrees Fallston. Wind chill -6

as jumping jeebus is my witness, STOP sweating the NAMs.

Pssst - "in the sky"...

My comment , fwiw, was aimed at the main thread freakouts…freakouts in here are acceptable lol

Find you someone who loves you as much as this board loves obsessing over the worst possible outcome from any one model in a particular suite ahead of a winter event no matter how unreliable that model is at range...

Khaleesi’s handmaiden voice: “it is known. Yes.”

It’s in the apocrypha…

I feel like psuhoff conjures the demons of failure each time frankly with his always looking for the failure mode. It’s not rational but I’ve decided I’m right.

When someone types they can’t tell if changes early on are good or bad I think - “bad, changes are always bad” reflexively

Seven inches would be Baltimore and north's best storm since 2016. Easily. We are in an epic big snow drought up here.

Lol. (checks for evidence of this thesis) resumes lol.

It’s good! it’s bad! it’s gooder than earlier! it’s worser than earlier! It’s more amped! it’s less amped! it’s a hair south! it’s a hair north! good stuff in the main thread. Totally clear. Any way to restrict that thread to mods, red taggers and a few select extra learned non-red taggers?

mitochondria mitosis meiosis

that's day 1 science, really.

It's like the GFS took the criticisms from the last few years about its ensembles too much following the OP and was like, "fine, watch this"...

lol - MY kids - both now in their 20s - neither of them give a shit about weather. They are probably not even mine, now that I think about it...

AMITAKINGCRAZYPILLS? DOWELIVEINTUGHILLNOW? Sorry for shouting - but - holy hell -people losing their shit over a run that drops 12-16" on us. What even is reality, really?

Sweet bleeding deities - A SINGLE RUN of one model is NOT a trend. On top of those invoking the waking horror of the 0z runs --those were around a foot encapsulated in sleet to keep us all in a skating rink for weeks - which omg would be SO welcome up in central northern maryland given the snow desert we've been in for about a decade so not a horror - in between the 6z runs pulled back from that to a much cleaner heavy snow set of scenarios and then GFS that JUST RAN was not that either and was textbook cold smoke. So, then the CMC comes along, always our most amped model (do we not remember such things year over year - a few years back it gave us 60 inches at one point six days out which was beyond hilarious for something that didn't even turn into a storm) - and it is, dear lord, shocking super amped, and we still even on that one get 6-12" before glaciating it in ice and it is a trend? I am a simple and dumb person, really, when it comes to atmospheric physics and fluid dynamics, but IF the high is what it is supposed to be, there is only so far north this can drive even with help from whatever ridging the CMC is showing back west to allow this - so... tl/dr putonbigpersonpants, certain people.

I need you to look up the definition of "trend".