Ravens94

I base pretty much all my forecast based on the look at H5 at first and then look at the surface it doesn't translate every time but that's part of it. A model can look fantastic early and go to shit later. Bottom line 12z Nam was better early at 500 and still was improved from 0z for us up here. For the record I went 3-6 RT 1 west in Harford and 4-8 east towards the bay and Cecil County. Baltimore east of 95 looks solid for 3-6 and 2-4 west. Won't take much movement to either boost the hell out of the amounts or raise them especially up here. Let's see how it goes but I'm not nearly as negative as some on here

Your on

5-7 is great and we take for Harford and Cecil

Um it's fine for up my way sorry it's not in your back yard

Agree going to be even more west based on h5

By 18z it might be close but its slowly catching on needs to remove the low out of the convection and towards the boundary more it's been trying

9z SREF Mean is 6 for BWI 8 for APG 4 for DC

Flakes in bel air

Let's just hope for all 12z throws another west shift in and we all can enjoy the goods like the SREF-NAM show

Thanks pushed Harford and Cecil up a bit went up 1.5 for me in 1 run

That's a respectable west shift do you have 00z?

I will be watching the SREF close in about a hour. They have been leading the way with the skyrocket in snow totals and caught the west shift

SREF Mean did jump heavy high APG MEAN 9.8 BWI 7.0 DC 6.0 Been steadily rising many over the mean and the low Camp is going up

NAM actually keeps the low closer to the coast and has been trending closer and closer to where it should be looking at 500mb meanwhile the GFS is trying to fix itself but fails to do so. GFS also busted east till about 12 hours prior on the last storm in VA so it's no surprise.

3k sucks like 99.9% of the time

36 she is winding up

For areas east towards NE md it's going to be a substantial improvement