
qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Remember when the WAR was forecasted for early September and always under forecasted?
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Looks like 28 at SLK and hours at 29 with freezing fog
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Moderate to heavy rain all morning
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Tropical connection NYC forum area Fri-Sun 8/28-30/20
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Absolutely pouring -
Significant Severe Weather Event Possible Thursday, August 27, 2020
qg_omega replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
91/74 here -
Significant Severe Weather Event Possible Thursday, August 27, 2020
qg_omega replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Here come the tor warnings in central NY -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
qg_omega replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Warm front has passed sun coming out -
SVR potential late Wed-Thu August 26-27 NYC metro
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Trigger isn’t very apparent, I guess the backdoor front but models are all over the place on it -
Tropical connection NYC forum area Fri-Sun 8/28-30/20
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like Delmarva for now -
Few clusters max rfall 2-3" and possible SVR Mon-Tue 8/24-25/20
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like a decent storm -
I was looking at this for Jamaica Bay
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Isaias had a significant surge it just hit at low tide, I was looking at the tidal gauge for a few back bays, looked like a 4 to 5 foot surge. Few hours later and we would have had moderate to severe coastal flooding
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No it clearly broke apart which was actually modeled very well
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Yes wasn’t too bad winds gusts to mid 50s as expected, didn’t lose power but many did. The Tornado threat never came to pass as the line weakened north of LBI
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NYC got lucky they found a hole in the severe line
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Of course but looks up track over western NJ at the moment but subject to wobbles
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The soundings are well mixed East of the center
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Looks the worst it has in a day, was looking decent 6 hrs ago
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It was clear from the radar, look at circulation and then the satellite, The shear has this very tilted as you go up in height the MLC doesn’t look half bad with deep convection, the llc remains naked with little weather to its west
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It’s back to a naked swirl, completely decoupled and definitely not a hurricane
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Water temp means little if the storm is getting sheered with dry air aloft
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Water means very little with the hostile upper air environment
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6z Euro went into southern FL and weak up the coast, weaker this stays more likely it goes into FL and an inland track up the coast
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