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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. qg_omega
  2. qg_omega
    It’s a very similar setup and model error of last weeks “mini nuke.” GFS was 100 percent wrong on a 48 hr forecast, this looks same. It’s phantom bombing these lows
  3. qg_omega
    It’s not real
  4. qg_omega
    Virginia, GFS is such a trash model
  5. qg_omega
    Wow Pope full melt, hate to see it
  6. qg_omega
    Again, on the list of factors preventing snow, this is near the bottom
  7. qg_omega
    SSTs off the east coast are pretty meaningless, if anything prefer warmer temps for enhanced baroclinicity
  8. qg_omega
    Only the warmth makes headlines
  9. qg_omega
    That was the grinch, parts of upstate NY had 40 inches in one storm last December. This one we had one storm for 6 to 8 inches two weeks ago and a few more of inch or so. No real cold but a few radiational cooling nights and lots of clouds grey skies, inversions and temps in the 30s during the day
  10. qg_omega
    I don’t remember last year being this bad, we had a huge snow storm in mid December. Grinch was bad but I still take that over this year
  11. qg_omega
    It’s not bad luck, there is a reason the NAO breaks down when the RNA moves out of the gutter
  12. qg_omega
  13. qg_omega
    Could but probably not, especially if the PV heads toward Europe. We would still be flooded with PAC air
  14. qg_omega
    Historic torch looking likely Jan 5 to 15, even warmer than what we had most of December as we loose the blocking and RNA rages
  15. qg_omega
    It’s a few radiational cooling nights, not representative
  16. qg_omega
    Don’t see any threat on any of these, maybe some light rain or drizzle
  17. qg_omega
    Can’t imagine many being thrilled with 4.4 inches of snow for all of January
  18. qg_omega
    https://nypost.com/2021/10/20/nyc-to-be-affected-by-la-higher-snowfall-than-expected-in-november/
  19. qg_omega
  20. qg_omega
    You said this week upcoming looked great last week, instead this week is near 50 everyday with intermittent rain. The models past a few days, even ensembles are no better than a coin flip
  21. qg_omega
  22. qg_omega
    More rain on Wednesday, Xmas week falling apart for the mountains
  23. qg_omega
    Freezing rain to rain tomorrow will be brutal, strongest storm in a week and it’s liquid
  24. qg_omega
    Bingo, honestly next few weeks look worse than what we had last week (snow for central and northern New England). I see warmth and weak rain systems next two to three weeks. Awful stretch in the heart of winter
  25. qg_omega
    At least zero percent of a grinch this year
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