That’s the point, ensembles have showed the better pattern 10 to 15 days away and are wrong. Canada is a blow torch and I don’t see any changes until Canada cools down significantly. The conus warmth this month and into YEAR END is historic. We aren’t just going to “flip” colder without massive changes. I see nothing for the next three weeks, maybe I’ll be wrong, lets hope. The reasons I outlined two weeks ago have not changed.