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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. My weather station read -22 this morning. We'll see what today's model runs bring... but I'm guessing that we'll see a solid 4-6" snowfall.
  2. Some very light snow falling now but these clouds won't last long tonight. We'll see if I can beat my weekly low of -18.
  3. Picked up around 2" last night. Nice surprise.
  4. Looks like CLE thinks the low will ride over the top of us. Probably not a bad call but still a long ways to go with this storm. All snow along the lakeshore is bold... but with the airmass in place and frozen lake seems plausible. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE SURFACE NEXT SYSTEM BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AS THE SEEMINGLY EVER-PERSISTENT WEST COAST UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TEMPORARILY BUCKLES AND LETS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SINK INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST US. A TIGHTENING BAROCLINIC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN THE GULF MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST US AND RETREATING ARCTIC AIR OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION/NORTHEAST US. SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION...INITIALLY AS SNOW...LOOKS INCREASINGLY LIKELY SATURDAY WITH A SATURATED AIRMASS IN A WARM ADVECTIVE PATTERN AHEAD OF THE MAIN LOW...WITH THE LOW ITSELF MOVING OVERHEAD SATURDAY NIGHT. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... BY SUNDAY MORNING...THE LOW SHOULD BE OVER SW NY AND SLOWLY DEEPENING WITH TIME. THE PATTERN AND PLACEMENT OF THE LOW SUPPORTS SNOW ALONG THE LAKESHORE...WITH A MIX OR POSSIBLE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN WELL INLAND...BEFORE COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW BRINGS A CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW AGAIN LATER SUNDAY.
  5. Ok. Its a deal. But it better torch the last 3 weeks of March.
  6. Not always the situation. The staff at the CLE NWS don't even measure the snow. They use an FAA observer who isn't affiliated with the NWS. Doesn't that make sense?! CLE NWS is no more than a couple hundred yards from the runway at CLE. Certainly not an ideal spot for measure snow. But even in light wind situations they still are not accurate. It would seem to me that regardless of winds, CLE has an issue with snowfall reporting.
  7. I wouldn't get too caught up in any one model run at this point. I'll give it until Friday before taking anything seriously.
  8. How dare you . People will be cooling drinks on Memorial day with the lake ice. Heck, I'm almost ready to sacrifice the snow for some warmth. Must be getting old. Nice steady light snow falling. Flake size has improved as well.
  9. I just can't see this storm cutting north of this area... Could be very wrong of course. The frozen lake will definitely help. At this point I wouldn't count on any lake enhacement given the ice cover. Not often we get a perfect track but we've done better than usual this winter in terms of synoptic snows. Even if the low tracks to YNG we'd get a nice thump.
  10. Seasonal snowfall is at 90.1". Looks like we are almost identical. Haven't been out to measure depth but I'd assume we are close. Yep, some light snows this week with bigger potential over the weekend. I'm almost ready to waive the white flag and say let's get a big one, then move on to a warm/dry March.
  11. I'd trade record low temps for snowfall amounts any day. This cold is ridiculous.
  12. -13 IMBY last night. That two nights in a row in the double digits below zero.
  13. Enjoy the snow. Good times driving in the hills of Athens.
  14. Made it down to -18 last night imby. Brutal stuff.
  15. CLE's total is absurd. You would have to think they will revise their total. Right around 7"' here. That band on the southwest side has been parked for a long time. Probably approaching double digits there. ice cover is hurting the east side right now.... Not sure the Huron band will connect to Erie.
  16. Since the winds kicked up its hard to measure.... I'll estimate 6-7" so far. Snow has stopped. The Lake Huron connection hasn't come together so we'll see what happens tonight. Not expecting much more but once winds line up from the NNw I'd imagine a decent band will take shape. Not sure how far west it will push. Great storm so far... Brutal outside.
  17. Yeah... Quickly flipped to parachutes. This will pile up quickly.
  18. Picked up 2" last night. Radar looking good. Snow keeps changing from fine flakes to larger ones. Nice disco ohweather. Considering we have a couple inches down already your map looks great. Looking forward to the whiteout as the front passes.
  19. Just saw that Buf has warnings for 6-12". Wasn't even expecting snow amounts so high, and so close to our area. Precip amounts don't vary that much between wny and northeast Ohio. Clearly not much collaboration between offices. We'll see what happens but if Buf is optimistic I can only think that CLe will be wrong in not issuing advisories.
  20. Some high clouds... but you get the picture. The ice has compacted but it's probably maxed out in terms of compaction. Who knows... LES always holds some suprises.
  21. Seems like a lock at this point. The crazy thing is that the ground beneath the snow imby is soft. Never froze prior to the snow cover. Hoping tomorrow over delivers. 2-3" seems like a good call.
  22. Down to -9 imby last night. I could do without the extreme cold. The weekend isn't looking much better... but at least snow will be falling. Nice disco ohweather. Looks like a few more inches of fluff on the glacier.
  23. Still plenty of time. Not feeling this one with every piece of guidance heading south east. That low to the north amongst other things isn't helping things. Hopefully the lack of blocking will help... We'll have to see how things come together over the weekend.
  24. Looks like CLE waved the white towel on next weeks potential -- .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THING WILL BE WARMING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY GETTING WITHIN 20 DEGREES OF NORMAL MOST AREAS. FORTUNATELY IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIGHT OVERHEAD. HAVE MADE SOME SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY PERIOD. BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE LOCAL AREA UNDER AN AREA OF SUBSIDENCE BETWEEN SYSTEMS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW COULD SNEAK INTO THE SOUTHERN END OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY BUT HAVE REMOVED ALL MENTION FROM THE NORTH. SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR SNOW EXIST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST WHERE THE EFFECTS AND MOISTURE FROM THE LATEST STORM MOVING UP THE EAST COAST WILL BE MOST FELT. THINGS WILL DRY OUT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE MUCH LAKE EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS PERHAPS MAKING THE MID 20S BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL BE VERY COLD.
  25. Snow has picked up in Chagrin. Looks like a dust storm with the snow being so fine. Inversion must be really low as well... sun keeps peaking through. Old/dirty snow has been covered though.
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