NEOH
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Everything posted by NEOH
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Nice forecast oh weather. Radar is starting to light up over the lake. Sure feels like winter again... Now let's get some snow to go with the cold. With the short fetch we'll probably see the "green blob" radar appearance over the higher elevations.
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It will be interesting to see how everything works out... typically these arctic frontal passages don't produce much LES, but moisture doesn't look that bad as you mentioned. With lake temps in the central basin around 42 degrees that will certainly produce extreme instability. Anything to end this endless boring stretch will be welcome. Can't believe there is is chance of LES without a WSW wind.
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It will definitely be colder... But doesn't look like anything exciting snowfall wise. A couple seasonable days then above normal earl next week. Hopefully we can see a few snow showers Friday/Saturday. Would rather it stay warm until/if the pattern changes as most are talking about. Don't want to bleed any more warmth from the lake.
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60/58 Imby on 12/23... While it feels nice it just doesn't feel right. Let's just keep the lake temps warm at this point. Unreal warmth out there.
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Congrats on the snow.... Especially the way this winter has started. Only 3" around here but it feels like winter... Even only for a brief time.
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I didn't think it would come this far south either. If it can take a more NW to SE position it won't lose the long fetch. But it looks like it may just sag south due E to W.
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What a mega band just north of here. I've been hearing thunder off and on so I bet the rates are amazing. I'll definitely be taking a drive to check it out. NE Cuyahoga should be under an advisory. Edit: No need to drive... the band has pushed south. Snowing heavily on the outer edge. Really surprised it made it this far south.
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Tough to sit this one out with the wsw wind direction. Nice to see flakes in the air though. WNY looks like the jackpot.
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Bummer we couldn't get a favorable wind diretion for us southern snowbelt folks. We'll probably get a few scraps as winds turn WNW'erly... but ridging pushes in quickly.
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Hard to believe there's a chance of LES this weekend with the warm weather the past few days. Patches of my grass are as green as they are in the Spring. Checked the soil temp yesterday it was around 50. Safe to say that any snow that falls will certainly melt from the bottom. Still a long ways out there but the flow looks to be westerly... perhaps WSW'erly. Ouch!
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Looks like we don't drop under 45 until next Monday night. Ouch! Thanks for posting the lake temps Trent... We are about to go off of the charts it appears. Wonder what the all time record is for lake temps in mid-December.
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Thanks for posting. Maybe this new location will help. They can just eyeball from the building instead of walking to an open field . Looking forward to the warm weekend. If there is no snow on the horizon I'd rather not bleed anymore warmth from the lake. Looks like the western basin cooled a bit as it was in the fog for a few days.
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Good to hear. Very interested to see where they measure.
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Temp didn't make above 35 yesterday Imby. It's 28 with fog this morning. With weak sun angle it's going to be hard to burn this off.
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Great write-up and forecast OHWeather. Interesting little event shaping up.
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What a difference a year makes. 2014 lake temps vs. 2015.
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It was certainly a warm November. I'm getting to the point where if it isn't going to snow... I'll take the comfortable temps. The western basin has started to cool but still plenty of warmth basin wide. Hopefully we'll see a pattern change around the Holidays (I'm writing off the first 3 weeks). As you mentioned, it would nice to get an ideal LES set-up with 100% open water.
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Hope everyone is having a good thanskgiving. Great day today with temps around 60. While it sucks to torch this time of year it sure feels nice.
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There used to be several spotters in the area. I'd say from pepper pike on east through rt. 87 did the best. Wonder what lakeeffectoh had... He is in chesterland I believe. Definitely need more spotters.
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Huge bust on my part. Picked up close to 4" throughout the day. Crazy gradient locally.... Grass just 2 miles south to 4" or more at 87 and 306 this morning... A few miles north. That area may have been the jackpot. Wouldn't be shocked to see 6" reports around there.Really surprised winds came around enough to bring the band this far south.
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Probably a good call. Dry air and strong winds are two bad signs. Warm lake is about the only thing going at this point. Not to be a Debbie downer but just not feeling good about this. I would much rather preserve the lake warmth for a better event. 1-2" out this way is my final call. Wouldn't be surprised at a trace. NWPA should do ok.
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Light coating of snow morning. We'll see what les brings tonight/tomorrow.
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It will be nice to see the snow again. Not feeling this one though... winds only turn WNW'erly for a brief time which would allow the band to sink south into this area. If the ridge builds in slower than expected I could see some decent accum's out this way. It will be interesting to see where the bands set-up. 322 on North is a great spot to be. OHWeather's snowfall map looks spot-on.
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My guess is that we'll see a 270 flow... the 322 corridor on east has been the hot spot the past few years it seems. If the storm takes a more easterly path vs. cutting hard to the NNE would that be a better scenario for WNW winds behind the storm?
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CLE seems to be anticipating a WSW flow based on the areas they are highlighting. THIS COULD BE THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT LAKE ENHANCED EVENT OF THE SEASON WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 6 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION SOMEWHERE IN THE SNOWBELT...MOSTLY LIKELY IN NW PA AND ASHTABULA CO.
