NEOH

C'mon... your killing me! But yeah, we will be riding a fine line as usual. Last year was pretty painful for LES as the heaviest snows were just a few miles north of us. DTA and I are about 3 miles North of 422. 290 is about the ideal direction for this area... anything less and congrats 322.

BUF issued watches already for 1 - 2 feet. I'm sure CLE will issue watches later today or tomorrow. Should be a decent event... we'll probably be on the south side of the heaviest snows but winds turn enough for us to get in the good stuff for awhile.

Looks like the models have the abandoned the big cutter idea thankfully. Otherwise OH Weather's nightmare scenario would probably happen. Let's just get the wind around from 280 or more and we'll be in business. Nice look on the models right now... hopefully it holds.

It has been a crazy warm year. I was near the lake earlier in the week and there were still some leaves on the trees. Pattern finally cools off next week... but it would seem extremely hard for this not to be the warmest on record at CLE.

Right around 2" imby. Looks and feels like Winter out there. Was hoping for more but its a start. The high winds and cold temps have no doubt cooled the western basin. Let's leave some in the tank for the next LES opportunity.

Had a nice coating earlier. Doesn't look like the snow will have much trouble sticking on the grass. The radar is lighting up over the lake. It will be fun to see what happens when that pushes onshore later today.

Great forecast ohweather.

No doubt... it will be nice to see the snow again. Hopefully the low closes off a little further southwest than what the models are showing to keep the moisture back this way. You are going to have fun drive to Erie.

The low at CLE was 57 last night... it was 46 IMBY. Hopefully we see good model trends today. Be nice for the moisture to hang around a little longer.

CLE highlights the negatives for the snow this weekend. Early season LES seems to always deliver with such dramatic lake/air temp differentials. Pretty good set-up though for those of us in the southern portion of the snowbelt. Looking for below freezing temperatures into Sunday Night with H850 temperatures at or below -8C. With the lake still warm (lower 50s) this is a supporting lapse rate for lake enhancement. There are some conditions that don`t favor organizing banding such as the strong wind speed and shear, short residence time across the lake (1-2hrs), and no notable Huron influence from the fetch. Despite these limiting factors...the duration of the event along with the continued development will likely produce the seasons first measurable snowfall in the lake effect region. The strong nw winds will help drive the measurable snowfall further inland than standard lake effect events. With winds gusting upwards of 40 mph near the lakeshore expect blowing snow conditions. Outside of the snowbelt the snowfall is not expected to accumulate.

Hard to believe the airport hasn't had a freeze yet. Temps are so much cooler once you get away from urban areas. We are consistently 5 to as much as 10 degrees cooler for lows. This morning for example I think the low was 36 at CLE, while it was 31 IMBY. Looking forward to seeing some snow this weekend. It will be interesting to see what happens with 850 temps of -10 to -12 coming over these water temps --

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. I've haven't seen that before. Let's preserve as much lake warmth as possible. Hopefully we can get a multi-day LES event with above normal water temps. Another great day out there... Go Tribe!

Thanks. Amazing stretch of warmth. Yeah... the switch has to flip at some point. Let's just keep lake erie nice and warm until then. Lake temps are still in the mid 60's... looks like that is right around average for the date which is surprising.

Trent - Are we on track for record warm year? Those stats are pretty amazing.

It is nice out there. Too bad the winds are bringing down the leaves down so quickly. Would be nice to have a few calm days to enjoy the color. Amazing how fast we went from green to almost full color. Let's keep the warmth going until mid-November. Might be year when the early season cold fronts don't cool the lake down significantly prior to the 1st snow.

Had some frost on the rooftops Monday morning. The leaves are definitely late this year... by at least 2 weeks compared to previous years. Color is really starting to pop now after the past few cool nights.

What I'll remember about this Summer is not so much the heat but the humidity. Amazing to have such consistent high humidity with little rain. Yesterday was as humid as I've felt it around here... the rain earlier in the day was much needed. Hopefully we can hold on to some of this warmth for LES season...

Lot's of branches down this morning after last nights storm. Slept right through it unfortunately. Anyone have radar images? Woke up and my yard was covered in branches and leaves. Lots of large branches down in spots.

For those that missed out on the rain yesterday... it looks like the lake breeze boundary will set-up further north today. We could really use the rain in the Chagrin area. Only wet pavement this morning while areas to the NE did much better.

Still not quite 100% leaf-out IMBY. Ash leaves are still small (although most are probably dying), and black locusts have very few leaves. Seems really late this year considering June is around the corner.

What a depressing sight yesterday. Couldn't believe it when I woke up. The roads were actually covered in certain places. Thankfully it didn't last long.

Eyeballing 5-6" on the deck. What a scene out there. The trees are caked with snow.

CLE even throwing around T'snow... that would make two weekends in a row. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING. AS IT DRIFTS EAST OF THE REGION MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN NORTHWEST OHIO LATE TODAY AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH SUNSET WILL BE MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES. THE FORECAST AXIS OF HEAVY SNOW HAS SHIFTED FURTHER WEST AND SOUTH FROM EARLIER THINKING. A SWATH OF FOUR OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED FROM THE TOLEDO AREA EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO. THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME THUNDER SNOW. IF THAT OCCURS ACCUMULATIONS MAY NEED TO BE PUSHED UPWARD.

Same here. A little less on the grass and not much on the pavement. Nice winter wonderland scene. We'll see what tonight brings.