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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. I wonder what the next round of LES this week will bring. For those of who missed the last event hopefully the winds have a more NW component. Strong winds and dry arctic air usually are great for heavy LES but BUF seems to be on board with a significant event.
  2. I didn't get out to measure before the temp went above freezing... but somewhere in the 5-6" range seems right. This stuff is going to a glacier after tonight.
  3. it's dumping right now. Mix line is slowly pushing north. Not sure how far north it will make it.l
  4. Hopefully we'll see an uptick in the snow intensity. Nice all day snowfall though. It will interesting to see how far north the dry slot and warmer air can make.
  5. Friend of mine lives on the Kirtland/Willoughby border -- measured 30" there. Another friend in Concord just north of Chardon measured 26".
  6. Tough one to miss out on, but at least there is snow on the ground. Hopefully we will add some tomorrow. A flip to rain looks inevitable though.
  7. That band is still pounding the same area. Going to be some huge totals. Just 2-3" IMBY.
  8. Definitely the jackpot area. The snow has been coming down here in bursts... It adds up quickly though. Good news on the euro.
  9. Had a few good bursts of snow. Huge flakes. The band over the lake looks great. Looks like the rich will get richer as it is headed for the same area as earlier today. Maybe a few scraps for us down this way later on.
  10. Just noticed that CLE had this in the AFD update... At this point, starting to question if the band will reorient itself over downtown Cleveland and points south/west anytime before 00Z. Hi-res guidance more support for snow further southwest as winds back more westerly and upstream Lake Michigan connection coming into play. This could place a dominant band onshore in western Cuyahoga but impacts would mainly be from 00Z to 09Z. Will continue to monitor and update as needed. The meso models agree but have been too far south with the snow.
  11. I just looked at bufkit and it does show winds coming around later tonight... but then again it showed that yesterday as well. The band is currently oriented on a 290 flow over the lake. Snow is starting to form out west over the lake so that's a positive sign. This event is a good reminder that troughs have a tough time pushing this far south.
  12. It is strange... winds are WNW pretty much everywhere but where we need them to be. Thanks for heads-up on what the Euro is showing... what looked to be the start of a very snowy period is fading pretty quickly. Hopefully we will see good model trends but a low going NW of us never bodes well for heavy snow.
  13. Pretty amazing that the band still hasn't budged south. I believe every model had winds coming around WNW. You have to wonder if the trough will ever make it through... by the time it does, the window will be short before ridging pushes in and winds back from the SW. Definitely a high impact event for those under the narrow band. But given the parameters I would have thought the snow would be more widespread. Looking ahead to Sunday/Monday... does the euro flip to rain around here? GFS and NAM are warm solutions.
  14. I didn't go that far north. Went up to Wilson Mills on 306. If Rt 6 was the cut off there was a definitely a sharp gradient.
  15. The trough still hasn't come through? Wow... thought it would do so overnight. Considering the air/water temp differential you would think snow should developing in the western basin. That current band must be locked in on an upstream connection. Took a drive North this morning... didn't see anything significant snowfall wise.
  16. The radar is looking pretty ragged at this point. Really surprised there isn't better banding and more activity over the lake. Great wind direction but poor band placement for mby... Less than an inch so far.
  17. Nice to see the snow flying again. The trough is making good progress south. You can clearly see the lake connections on regional radar.The HRRR solution is an outlier... But the fetch is more NW than I thought it would be. Who knows, maybe it is on to something.
  18. Tough call for Lorain. The very northern section may get in on the action if a connection can be established from lake michigan.
  19. You can see the snow starting to take shape over the western basin as the winds start to come around... should see the snowpush onshore in NE OH in a few hours. Radar looks great over the lake.
  20. Congrats on finishing school! Nice forecast. Hoping for a slight shift south.
  21. Are you done with school? If so, can you go back to get your masters so you have more time to provide us with forecasts . Joking of course. This event has some red flags for those of us on the southern edge.
  22. Pretty big changes to CLE's snowfall map. They expanded snowfall amount south/west, and increased amounts across the board.
  23. Seems like a reasonable map. Although winds coming around WNW'erly (280-290) for good amount of time there should be a decent Lake MI connection... you would think there would be higher snowfall amounts further west. Lake effect is a crap shoot so who knows... but hopefully we can exceed 6-8" around here.
  24. There used to be a reliable spotter in Pepper Pike as well. The 91 corridor between Mayfield Rd. and Chagrin Blvd. usually does very well with snow.
  25. BUF issued LES Warnings already... 2-3 ft. in the most persistent bands. Gotta love WNY... long fetch and a lot elevation. I'd be happy with half of that around here.
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