NEOH

Same here. The LES was very localized it seems... focused up towards northern geauga and lake. On to next week.

Temp down to 38 imby. Winds have gone northerly and you can already see a plume of lake enhancement precip heading toward CLE on radar. Edit: Snow starting in Chagrin... a little earlier than I thought it would.

Good stuff OHWeather. 2-4" seems like a good call for this area. The wrf suite shows .4" - .5" of precip over Geauga county for the event (some of which is rain).

Thanks for the forecast OHWeather. These early season LES events are always interesting with the extreme parameters. The wind direction/short duration will definitely be the limiting factors. 1-3" seems reasonable. The best wind direction for this area is in 280-300 range -- this direction includes a long fetch from the western basin. Next week looks interesting as well for a potential long duration LES event. The CMC has had this feature the past couple of runs.... now that would be something to see.

Still a long way out but the 12z runs were as good as they get around here in early November.

Good to see you drop in. I was checking the CLE NWS site and couldn't find any snow reports. The end of the week certainly looks interesting. It would be ideal to get a decent LES set-up while the lake is still warm. Some 40 degree temps already appearing in the western basin.

Well that was a surprise to see this morning. Measured 1.5". Elevation definitely helped.

CLE will finish October around +4 for the month. Two months in a row with a big positive temp departure. With today's rain October will likely be near normal precip wise. Looks like our first shot at a few flakes over the weekend. Trees are mostly bare outside of the oaks -- not sure if the dryness from mid-August on affected them but this is as early as I can remember in this area.

Definitely an early fall clean-up this year. There's a pretty decent signal on the models for some cold/snow around Halloween... but I'll wait a few days before getting my hopes up.

Anyone else noticing that rapid leaf drop? Amazing how much has come down over the past two weeks. Trees in my yard went from mostly green back on the 10th to mostly bare as of this morning. Here's a pic from last weekend... many of those trees are mostly bare now.

Sept was extremely warm and dry (+6.3 at CLE on the tarmack). October has started the same and is currently +7.6. I flew into CLE yesterday and forgot how close to the runway the NWS sensors are -- maybe a couple of hundred feet at best. The ground has become extremely dry which is rare for this time of the year. No complaints about the warm and sunny days though. The warmth seems to have stalled the leaves to some degree. I'd say they are only 30% changed at this point which is late. Colors look to be dull as well with a lot of leaf drop already. Lets just keep the lake warm until November.

The rain/t'storm forecast was a bust last night across the area. Pretty amazing how dry it has become considering we had above average precip over the Summer. Most of the rain that has fallen the past couple of weeks has been from Ashtabula county into Western PA. The "maple tar spot" has been really bad this year with a lot of leaves already coming down. Doesn't look like its going to be a good year for Fall color at least locally.

Warm July at CLE with +3.7 departure. July was dry as well with below average precip. The dryness on the west side is a little deceiving as most locations across the area had well above normal precip. Close to 6" of precip IMBY for the month.

CLE has only had.13" of rain so far in July. Quite a change from June. Much more rain has fallen around the area (1.5" imby so far) -- CLE has been lake breezed quite a bit this month with most of the rain falling south of the airport.

CLE finished June -0.2 with 8.08" of precip... good enough for the 4th wettest June. The last week of the month definitely felt like summer compared to the rest of the month. The ground had dried out in sunny areas. The shady areas are still really wet. Good potential for an MCS to roll through tomorrow night.

EF-1 Tornado confirmed in SE Cuyahoga county yesterday. Not sure what the parameters looked like but it was rainy and cloudy prior to the storm. Must have formed along the front.

Yeah. I felt it here in Chagrin. Pretty cool. It happened pretty close to the salt mines under the lake... couldn't imagine being in a mine under the lake when that happened.

Just under 4" here in South Russell. Winter wonderland out there. Just in time for opening day tomorrow.

Its dumping in Chagrin. Huge flakes. Everything is covered already... winter wonderland scenery.

Good luck with the Steelhead fishing. You might want to try the Chagrin or Grand rivers as well.

I'm around 50 inches in South Russell. About 50% of average.

It has been really nice. Definitely ready for Spring as well. Not much to see in the long range so hopefully we'll coast into Spring.

What a great decade that was. CLE's average snowfall was 77". Time for regression I guess. How much snow have you had in Chesterland this season?

I was kind of hoping CLE would break into the top ten least snowiest. Hard to say but CLE will probably finish in the 35" range I'd imagine. Here's a look at the past few years snowfall at CLE - 2017/2018 - 53.1" 2016/2017 - 37.3" 2015/2016 - 32.8" 2014/2015 - 67.1" (almost normal) 2013/2014 - 86.1" (the last time CLE was above normal) Obviously we've had much more snow out here in the snowbelt... but 5 straight seasons of below normal snowfall at CLE is a bad stretch.

Well that was a nice surprise. Must have been very intense as it didn't look like is lasted long on radar.