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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. Picked up 4.5” overnight. Looks like another hour or 2 of snow before we mix. Definitely more than I expected.
  2. Looks like an inch or two of of LES tonight. Then maybe a couple of inches with the storm -- WAA always over-performs around here so the snowfall could certainly flip to mix/rain earlier than forecast. The LES Sunday thru Wednesday looks good from a wind direction standpoint.
  3. CLE's temp departure for the month is up to +12.8. While it felt nice this past weather it was just odd to be outside in short sleeves in January. Hopefully we can manage a few inches of snow this coming weekend.
  4. CLE's temp departure thru 1/9 is +9.3. This will likely go up with the warmth over the next couple of days. We are still ahead of last year with snowfall by an inch (wow last winter was awful as well). We should chip away at that temp departure later in the month provided the long range pans out. Enjoy the warmth and flooding rains over the weekend .
  5. We would be just as bad as CLE without lake effect. Imagine how different CLE's snowfall would look if the airport was located on the east side.
  6. Looking at the numbers CLE has had a long stretch of bad winters since 2010... the average snowfall from the 2010 - 2019 time frame has been 51.8" -- which is 16" below normal. That's really bad. At this point it will be hard to get to 51" this Winter given the long range outlook. Perhaps this is becoming the new normal.
  7. That was an intense squall this morning. Too bad it pushed south so quickly. Hopefully we'll pick-up a few additional inches today. Radar looks pretty good upstream.
  8. We are definitely in a string of bad winters. 2013/2014 was cold with slightly average snowfall. 2010/2011 was the last well above average winter IMBY - https://www.weather.gov/cle/Climate_Snowfall_2010-11
  9. CLE finished December with a +5.6 temp departure. That's absurdly warm. The snowfall deficit is at -10" for the season. I'm around 23" for the season. It would be uglier without the November LES event.
  10. Picked up a little over 3” today. Very wet but scenic. Looks like the lake effect may set up just north tonight but we’ll see. The 12z euro run was great for northern Ohio. Be great for half of that to verify.
  11. Nice to see the snow flying again. It has been almost two weeks. 3-6" in the forecast.
  12. CLE's temp departure is up to +4.3 for December, and -9.2" snowfall for the season. Definitely a December to forget.
  13. The remaining snow cover should be gone today... although it has been resilient. Have to admit the past few days have felt great.
  14. That's right around the total I came up with. Enjoy the snow cover while it lasts. Winter appears to be going into hibernation for awhile. I guess the positive is that the lake will remain open for when the cold returns.
  15. The snow this morning fell in about a half an hour. It dumped as the band move south around 6am. Still snowing nicely in Chagrin. This is a really good wind direction for the area so maybe we can cash in a few more hours before ridging starts to move in.
  16. Looks like the banding CLE mentioned yesterday set-up over the central basin of lake erie. Congrats fish! Which ever model showed the least amount of precip/snow did the best with this one. Maybe we'll pick up another inch or so today. Hopefully the LES performs tomorrow morning. Too bad the ridging moves in from the west so quickly.
  17. No bad trends in today's model runs. Banding will be the key to seeing the higher snowfall totals. Should rip pretty well between 4am - 10am. Thinking 3-5" might be a good call.
  18. Just a dusting last night. Pretty good storm track upcoming for Northeast Ohio... should be south enough to keep the WTOD from pushing this far north. Too bad moisture is so limited on the northern side. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
  19. I was surprised when it flipped over around 8:30 this morning. Currently 32/32 IMBY. The wet snow is coating everything.
  20. 12z euro is onboard for a few inches from the weekend storm. Short range models are as well. This will be a tricky forecast for CLE.
  21. Pretty rare to get a storm track like that. Now that we get one temps are very marginal. Ugh. Hopefully we can flip to all snow and snag a few inches.
  22. Well that clears things up... :) A digging upper level trough will move quickly east across the western half of the United States. The trough will deepen in response to amplifying ridge along the West Coast by Monday night. The positively tilted trough will rotate a potent positive vorticity maximum through the middle Mississippi Valley region by Monday causing cyclogenesis to occur over Texas. The surface low will then track northeast through the Ohio Valley Monday night. The warm sector will remain to the south of the forecast area and ample moisture will stream north with the system Monday morning from southwest to northeast. A mix of rain/snow will take place across the area Monday into Monday night. 850 mb temperatures are expected to fall from around -6 degrees C to around -10 degrees C by Sunday morning. As the next system approaches Monday morning, mid level temperatures will warm back to just above freezing across the southern half of the forecast area. Will need to monitor temperatures through the column for the possibility for freezing precipitation in the overrunning precipitation threat. As low moves northeast of the area Monday night, cold air advection returns in the mid levels as 850 mb temperatures drop back to around -6 degrees C.
  23. Looks like Lake and Ashtabula counties did pretty well with the brief LES last night. Perhaps we will see a burst of snow later this afternoon as the winds come around... but I'm not confident in the wind turning northwesterly enough for this area. It has been a pretty quiet first 10 days of December. CLE's snowfall deficit is now 3". Next week looks active which is good to see. The euro has a nice storm in the Tuesday time frame.
  24. Just noticed 3-6" is in the forecast. I've been traveling this week so haven't paid much attention. Should be an interesting flight in this evening.
  25. CLE finished November with a -5 temp departure. Given the cold temps you would think there would have been a snowfall surplus but we are running a small deficit. Hopefully things pick back up again.
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