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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. That's a feast or famine location for sure. Anywhere north of Rt. 90 lacks elevation. You can do pretty well in that area with a WSW wind direction though.
  2. Snowing nicely in Chagrin as additional snow is developing south of the main band. My total is a little under yours but I didn't get a good measurement yesterday. Looks like the main show will be tonight.
  3. We've had a good few bursts of snow here in Chagrin. Great flake size under the heavier returns. It has been interesting that the best snows have been well south of the snowbelt today. I think a contributing factor to the lack of organization today is the time of the year -- same sun angle as mid October. Bands tend to get disrupted during the daytime with early and late season events. You can almost see a shore parallel trying to form on radar now. I'm not good at picking up on troughs so I'll take your word that there is one to the south of here. Don't surface troughs usually push further south of the lakeshore when the waters are cold? Seems like they tend to hug the shoreline earlier in the season when the waters are warmer. CLE mentions tomorrow morning and afternoon for the greatest impacts at KCLE.
  4. That's definitely high. They must have measured a drift. Problem is that the ground was warm/wet prior to the snow, and with the high winds blowing the snow around its not easy to measure.
  5. Definitely tough to measure with the strong winds. I'm going with 3.5" but that is probably not very accurate. Speaking of the winds... I wonder how much impact the strong winds will have on the lake effect bands as residence time will be greatly reduced. Good to see the lake effect starting to fire up. Ideally we need a wind directing in the 280-300 range for max snowfall in this area. Looks like we may be a bit too far south for the heaviest stuff.
  6. Just issued by CLE - afternoon models all on track for a decent event. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations through Saturday of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible where lake effect snow bands persists and across the higher terrain. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph Thursday and Thursday night with blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Saturday. In particular, periods of heavy lake effect snow are expected from mid morning Thursday through Thursday night and again Friday night into Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and or evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to lake enhanced snow this evening with moderate snow and amounts of 3 to locally 5 inches tonight. An additional 4 to 8 inches is likely from lake effect snow Thursday and Thursday night. Lake effect snow will be ongoing across the region through Saturday. Wind chill temperatures will be in the single digits through Saturday morning.
  7. Thanks for the forecast OHWeather. This looks to be much more significant than I anticipated. Sounds like the 322 to Rt. 6 corridor could be the jackpot area.
  8. While I'm ready for Spring I wouldn't complain about a significant event. Not looking for a couple of sloppy inches at this point of the season. The way this storm is trending the western burbs of CLE may actually see a decent synoptic snowfall... with a northeast wind off the cold lake the lakeshore areas could see a quick changeover.
  9. What a weekend with the sunshine and mild temps. At this point of the season I'm ready to turn the page to Spring. The longer days are great. Not looking forward to a couple of days of rain. Whatever snow we get on the backside will not be pretty with the wet ground.
  10. Yeah it has been an ok stretch. The one thing that stands out is that just about every snow has been wet... which has made for nice scenery. 2-4" seems reasonable tonight. Its mid-Feb and this is really the first arctic front of the dwindling winter season.
  11. Same amount here.... although there was definitely some compaction. When I looked at the radar before going to bed I figured there would be more. Should add another 2-4" today/tonight though.
  12. CLE is calling for 2-5" which is a fairly broad range... they must be accounting for the snowfall gradient from north to south. No bad trends in the models overnight which was good to see.
  13. Cautious optimism for a decent snow event. Biggest concern is how far north the WTOD gets. It usually has no problem push up to the Rt. 30 corridor. The far northern tier of counties look pretty good at this point, but given the way this winter has gone anything is possible. .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Low pressure moves northeast up the Ohio River Valley to western PA Wednesday night. Expect precipitation to continue through the night. Difficult portion of the forecast is the temperature profile across the region. Every model has the rain/snow/mixed precipitation line in slightly different locations through Wednesday night causing much uncertainty to accumulations of snow and ice. Just know that the Thursday morning commute will be impacted with a good bet that portions of the region will be under a winter weather advisory.
  14. Definitely one of the snowiest days we’ve had this winter. Measured about the same. Winds seems to be backing now so we may get another few hours of snow before it pushes off to the northeast.
  15. Yep. Moisture from Huron is definitely helping. The radar is looking good with the main band on the west side and another forming in eastern Cuyahoga through western Geauga.
  16. Thanks for the forecast OHWeather. Picked up around an inch last night. Snow is really picking up now and the radar looks great back to the west.
  17. These messy set-ups typically deliver poor results. That said, 2-4" seems reasonable but guidance has been backing down as you mentioned. I'm not putting to much stock in any particular model solution at this point though.
  18. It was all sleet and freezing rain last night... no snow at all. It will be interesting to see what happens tonight/Friday. A low tracking through WV into PA is usually a great track for Ohio. The models are all over the place with snowfall... no agreement at all. I'd be more optimistic but given the way this season has gone my expectations are low.
  19. Great disco from CLE LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... By Thursday, a deep and elongated upper-level trough moves east across the Great Plains, producing strong southerly flow with a Gulf of Mexico connection. This will result in a moisture-rich low pressure system developing over the lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday night and steadily deepening as it progresses northeast across the Tennessee/Ohio Valley on Thursday and to the New England coast by Friday or Saturday, depending on which model you look at. Given the high moisture content, strong synoptic-scale forcing, and favorable surface low track southeast of our forecast area (something that could certainly change though), this has the potential to be our best snow-producer of the winter for areas outside of the snowbelt, an achievement that won`t be very difficult due to the lackluster winter so far. Snow and ice will both be on the table for Wednesday night through early Friday depending on the surface temperatures and vertical temperature. It`s important to note that while there is potential for a significant winter storm to impact the region, there is still a lot of uncertainty. Model guidance are still producing widely-varying low pressure tracks which could greatly alter the forecast. For now, it will be important to monitor the forecast for this time period and planahead if you have travel plans.
  20. I flew out of CLE earlier this morning. Night and day difference between the eastside and westside. There was barely a trace of snow when I got to the airport, while it looked like Winter in our area.
  21. That's a long stretch of snow cover for this Winter. We are used to LES fluff around here which goes away quickly... this paste has staying power. The ground beneath isn't even frozen.
  22. As of 1/30 CLE has a +8.6 temp departure for January, and the snowfall decifit is up to 18". Remarkably the past 4 days may be the longest stretch I've had this winter with snow cover. The paste that fell on Sunday and Monday is still on the ground and coating the trees. While the snow isn't deep it has looked like Winter at least.
  23. Thanks for sharing. Good stuff. Hard to believe that snowstorms actually happened in Ohio
  24. That area has been in the band quite awhile... I'm sure the fluff is adding up. Starting to snow lightly again in Chagrin.
  25. This has definitely been a strange LES event. The trough that was supposed to push through early yesterday afternoon took until the late evening to move south so areas near the lakeshore picked-up the heaviest snowfall. Picked up around 5" last night on top of what fell yesterday. Despite the low inversion the flake size is actually large. The moisture from lake huron definitely helps. Seems like there were isolated pockets of heavier snowfall... more so than usual with lake effect. The winds are fairly light so we'll probably see the heavier snows set-up closer to the lakeshore today. Finally looks like Winter with a nice snow pack in place.
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