NEOH

Yep Sunday looks interesting. Still a long way out but great to see this on all of the models. Considering how cold it will be ratio's will be excellent. Now if only we could pull of a WNW wind direction behind it.

We should get a quick thump prior to temps going above freezing... the front comes through quickly so there won't be a lot of time for melting. You may do really well up by the lakeshore with lake effect given the expected wind direction. We'll be frigid with mostly sunny skies here to your south.

About the same here... we may squeeze out 3" over a 48 hour period.

Still think that 3-6” is a good call locally. 6z nam was encouraging... along with a bump north in precip on most of the models. Just glad to be on the northern fringe for a change.

Good to see an improvement. The snowhole over the northern portion of Cuyahoga and Lake is a bit suspect. I think that accum's will be more uniform than what is depicted by the maps. With the 700 and 850mb lows tracking over Mansfield precip should be fairly robust to the north -- although it may struggle initially with the dry air.

Model trends were not good last night for the northeast corner of the state. Really shows the impact of the dry air coming in on a ENE wind direction. We'll be watching precip evaporate at is pushes in from the SW. However, we will be just north of the 700 and 850mb low tracks which is good spot to be. Will probably see a similar set-up to the previous storm where the snow on the north side is farther north than depicted on the models. Thinking 3 - 6" is a good call for much of the area... higher amounts the further southwest you are.

As the low transfers a trough will hang back over the region... with a cold and moist cyclonic flow it could be pretty good. Not sure how quickly winds come around from the North though. With a NE flow the enhancement may favor areas to our west.

Ride the Euro on this one... 10:1. Ratio's won't be great initially... they will improve with the snow that comes from trough that hangs back over the area. Still a few days out but the euro has been consistent.

You're right... no snow for lake county! Seriously though... a blend of the models is very nice for Northern Ohio. Way to far out to get caught up in snowfall maps. I don't think the energy has even been sampled at this point.

NAM only goes out to 84 hours. Much of the snow falls well after that. I wouldn't pay too much attention to the NAM at 84 hours anyway.

Picked up just over an inch last night. Looks like 2-3" fell around around the Geauga/Cuyahoga border. Solid snow in the secondary snowbelt with the NNW'erly flow -- which none of the high res models showed. Should pick-up a little later this morning out here but not expecting much. Great to be on the northern edge of guidance at this point for the weekend storm (on the Euro/CMC/Ukie at least). Optimism definitely growing for a nice event.

With the cold temps the remainder of the week it looks like the western basin will likely freeze up. Looked at some webcams and ice is forming around the islands and around Toledo. The Sunday/Monday storm is looking interesting. Nice track for Northern OH... no reason to get caught up snow maps at this point, but most of the models have a trough lingering back over the area well after the low transfers to the coast.

Congrats on the move down south. Hopefully your last Winter "up north" will finish strong. This weekend is looking more and more interesting... good to have the Euro, Ukie and CMC on board with a track south of here. Still a long ways out though but something to track at least.

We have had solid snow cover here in Geauga county for awhile. Not disappointed about missing a 5-8" snowfall at all. Imagine tracking this storm for a week for that. As we get into Feb my enthusiasm for winter tends to go away. Its pretty remarkable we've had as much snow as we've had without the lake freezing. Right around 60" for the season now... and the two December storms really made the winter for me.

Looks like another couple of inches of snow tonight -- 2-3" possibly. Nice to have snow cover again. Next week is looking more interesting. A low tracking along the Ohio River is usually good for the northern third of Ohio. Still a long ways out but a blend of the model suite would be ideal.

I'll assume you had a few beers before writing this :). We had 2 of the largest synoptic storms we've had in years in December. Snowcover didn't hang around that long in your area near the lakeshore but that's the way it goes with marginal temps. You actually don't want sustained cold if you want lake erie to remain ice free. A west wind is really ideal for lake county -- but the past couple of days have favored northern Erie county in PA with a west southwest flow.

After the last couple of seasons no reason to complain on this end. Tonight is interesting... lots of moisture to work with a favorable flow albeit short duration. Wouldn't be surprised to see 3-5".

Good to have snow cover again. That was quite a long and boring stretch of weather. Pretty rare to have the lake wide open in mid-January. Hopefully we can get a decent lake effect event in at some point.

Winter doldrums coming to an end it looks like... although nothing that exciting on the horizon. Outside of the limited sun over the weekend it seems like we've had perpetual overcast with temps in the 30's for weeks now.

Picked up a quick 1.5" this morning. This is definitely one of the best December's I can remember for snowfall... right around 50" on the season now. Hard to believe CLE is only at 23" but they've always had snowfall measuring issues.

Merry Christmas! What an awesome morning with over 10” now. Lake effect is starting to pick up. Hopefully we can cash in for awhile before the wind direction changes.

Welcome back. Good to see the models tick back west. Things are lined up pretty well at this point.

Do you only look at the GFS? It has been on its own with the storm. Trends over night were a little further east but eastern Ohio is still in a good spot.

Nice. ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches possible with locally higher amounts. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore counties. * WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning.

12z runs have improved a bit for Northern Ohio. Euro was interesting as the low passes it moves to the NE (instead of due North) and keeps the winds WNW'erly for a longer period time.