Blizzard of 93

Good post about the MJO from @GaWx in the ENSO thread today. “Just like yesterday, the GEFS and EPS disagree on how long the MJO will stay in phase 8: GEFS: only 6 days though it returns for rd 2 on 12/18: But the EPS, which recently has been much steadier and has been verifying better than GEFS since phase 7, once again is going with a very long phase 8 (16+ days, longest in 50 years): you can’t place an MJO better than this in Dec for E US cold lovers (and it looks to be cold the next 10 days per models though one must remember that there are always other factors to consider due to the complexity of the atmosphere):”

Good point, the 7 pm MDT observation still had wind at 13 mph.

CTP has the forecast low at 14 tonight for MDT. The remaining snow cover could help the temps to bottom out. Current dew point is 13 at MDT.

Looks like a very cold night tonight! Unfortunately for us, the light event tomorrow is not getting north of BWI, but good to see those folks getting the chance to score a little snow. This coming week we need to see if we can get some table scraps from any of these Clippers. The advertised pattern for the next few weeks should keep us mostly in the game. Hopefully it’s just a matter of time before we are back to tracking a specific chance for more snow.

Still showing MM for the snow measurement at MDT in the overnight climate summary. They must be really stumped on this one.

6z Euro keeps the LSV in the game for a light snow chance on Friday.

After further review of the minute breakdown of MDT’s observations, approximately .35 of precip fell today as snow or snow/sleet mix. MDT showed 1 inch snow depth at 7 am on only .07 of precip, so there must have been decent ratios early on. It then proceeded to snow or snow/sleet mix there for over 3 more hours. As I mentioned, MDT recorded snow or snow/sleet mix from around 5:30 am until around 10:15 am before the full flip to freezing rain. Based on this & surrounding observations, hopefully we get a MDT official reading near @canderson prediction of 2.5” snow for the event.

I was on a Teams call today & one of the guys was located in Middletown directly across the street from MDT. I watched it snow heavily through his window on my screen between 9:30 & 10.

Look again… it’s predominantly snow or snow/mix until a little after 10 am…

Soon my friend, hopefully you & the Lanco crew cash in on the next one! The pattern looks potentially active through the next week, so hopefully it won’t be long until we are back tracking a specific chance.

“MM” at the 5 pm daily climate report. We will need to wait until the overnight climate summary. Based on the the observations, MDT stayed mostly snow or snow/sleet mix until a little after 10 am. I think your call of 2.5 has a chance to be right!

I ended up with 3 inches of snow & sleet in Marysville that were compacted into cement by the time I shoveled this evening. This stuff was heavy & provided quite a workout. My back is barking already!

CTP is going to make us wait for MDT’s official measurement today. The 5 pm climate summary just has “MM” now.

Moderate snow in Marysville continues with eyeballing over 1 inch covering all surfaces.

Snowing in Marysville with all surfaces lightly covered at 6 am.