Blizzard of 93

6z GFS for next weekend has a snow to mix/rain back to snow long duration scenario for CTP. Long way to go & many developments still to come in the upcoming days as we continue to track the potential.

Low of 7 in Marysville.

Lots of shovel & temperature talk today… But no one bothered to post the 12z Euro for next weekend’s chance…Lol! This run shows heavy snow to mix for most of us before a change back to snow. The low took a somewhat inland track, which brought on the mixing this run. Long way to go…

Bottom line is that Next weekend is still a period of interest that needs monitored for a possible Winter storm chance.

The 6z AI GFS actually keeps the low mostly to our south this run in response to the blocking.

Likely way overdone to say the least this run, but the 6z GFS had the general idea of a low tracking towards Ohio & then forming a secondary in response to the blocking in the Northeast. The good recent off & on runs the last few days of the Euro & the AI models had this same general idea. The 6z GFS just gets the coastal going a little earlier & then rapidly strengthens it, producing a historic result, that is of course unlikely.

12z EPS & AI EPS also have the Winter storm signal for Valentine’s weekend.

18z GFS had an interesting solution for a Valentine’s weekend Winter storm chance.

Long range GFS & Euro Op runs are starting to entertain the idea of a Valentine/PD weekend Winter storm chance, just like their AI versions have shown over the last couple of days at times.

Same in Marysville

The 18z AI EPS has a good looking signal for Valentine’s/PD weekend.

The 18z AI EPS has a good looking signal for Valentine’s/PD weekend.

People were so busy punting & canceling that they missed PD3 on the 18z AIGFS… Lol!

The Euro continued to be enthused about the Friday Clipper chance, bringing 1 to 2 inches of snow to most of CTP again this run.

Most models now keep most of the light snow chance tomorrow night just to our south, but a dusting to coating from the turnpike south is still on the table for now.