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keno19

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Everything posted by keno19

  1. keno19
    almost 5pm. raining in south shore Nassau county. Temperature 35.5 F storm pulls out around 1030pm here. Looking for about 1-2 inches forecasted here.
  2. keno19
    HRRRR not even picking up the squall line. hmmmm models have over done precip and wind. This def is not even wind advisory level so far, neverless a high wind warning
  3. keno19
    Nassau county south shore wind gust 43mph no 60 mph yet
  4. keno19
    Yes I didn't mean to insult anyone on here or any of the meteorologists on this forum. Had to clarify.
  5. keno19
    Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this. Bernie Rayno probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know. Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids. Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water. They dummy down the physics and calculus. Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run. I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol. Those degrees don't go through the tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc. probably why forecasts are horrible today. Don't want to be negative. I just like the real science behind the forecast.
  6. keno19
    Nws already dropped the wind advisory. Highest gust 25 mph.
  7. keno19
    south massapequa highest gust 19.9 mph (30 foot pole) as of 7:11pm
  8. keno19
    South Massapequa 0.00 in winds peaked at 36mph
  9. keno19

    keno nailed it for long island   0.00 of snow.  :)

  10. keno19
    models this year have way over performed wind gusts
  11. keno19
    I was let down on the forecast of 2-3 inches of rain and 60 mph gusts. Im here in south Nassau and my highest wind gust was 29.1 mph and rainfall for the event was 0.91 inches. My tempest weather station is 25 feet above the ground nothing blocking the wind. I am trying to figure out if the storm wasn't as powerful in my area or is the tempest weather station not accurate on wind? i know its not accurate for rainfall do to false vibrations from wind. anyone have any suggestions or ideas on this?
  12. keno19
    992mb Low deepening. isobars will start to get stacked by 12am across LI
  13. keno19
    i agree i majored in atm science the whole mixing winds down is hard to predict, inversions caps etc. never bullet proof
  14. keno19
    South Massapequa 1.60 in highest gust 21 mph waiting lol for wind advisory level forget about high wind warning
  15. keno19
    i am wondering how much of these winds will mix down. I don't believe suffolk county high wind warning will hold. 925 mb winds not as impressive over long island
  16. keno19
    0.97 here south shore Nassau
  17. keno19
    models did not handle this well
  18. keno19
    im calm just tired of the hype on tv 2-3 inches. even if some yellow echoes come through just not going to be anywhere forecasted. 0.5 in to 1.5 in would have been a better forecast on long island. typical fall weekend rain
  19. keno19
    0.05 inches what a joke. all the current radar images lost the yellow. lucky to get .50 inches out of this on long island.
  20. keno19
    Because its expensive. jet fuel, dropsones and paying OT for a storm that has weakened alot. Also its wasting time now. The storm is becoming extra tropical. No need to waste time anymore but the media and NWS will never say that. This will be a tropical storm in the next 6 to 12 hours. Basically becoming a noreaster. The overhype is starting because of all the attention and money put into this 1 storm as it dies out.
  21. keno19
    I hate to disappoint many but long island will be getting rain. With temps 45-50 warm ground in place. No arctic air in place, stronger March sun angle. 500mb upper energy too far north. Dynamic must be perfect and intense . Too much against. Also watch as storm starts the bulk of the qpf will be rain so watch
  22. keno19
    too far north
  23. keno19
    This is what we need to watch where the energy moves. Not surface
  24. keno19
    And here comes the dry slot for long Island lol
  25. keno19
    Long island still no frozen precip. All models did not time this correctly. Event almost over
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