
SnOvechkin
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Everything posted by SnOvechkin
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
In Ohio, evening time, there is severe potential for sure as the circulation pushes through. Idk about the Hoosier state -
Huh? These are all part of the Ohio/lakes board. And now I see a 'short/medium range SEVERE weather thread' as if it couldn't be contained in the other short/medium range thread. And I can only assume the same is done for medium/long range SEVERE vs. the other medium/long range. Good grief
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Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Next 10 days look very snowy on the Canadian for just about everyone. Euro and GFS leave north-central Indiana out of most of the action, offering a frustrating solution with heavy snowfall narrowly missing us every time, whether to the north or south. Meanwhile GDPS and GEM place us in a bulls-eye and leave us with 8" or more on the ground when all is said and done. Whatever happens, it looks like a lot of us will see a lot of snow next week -
Is it just my or could Let's Talk Weather, Winter Banter, January thread, Short/medium, Medium/Long be consolidated? Short and Long range instead of having two medium range threads. Then a Winter banter. At the very least we could remove either the monthly or the winter banter, as these five threads have a lot of overlap
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Near New Buffalo, Lake Michigan last week. Looks like the freezing spray and tops of waves all froze solid. The water was incredibly calm; air was still, and the minimal wave action was all cutting under the mounds of ice which now comprise the shore. Was a strange feeling to realize how far out over the water I was after walking out to the edge
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He doesn't make any predictions. The only time he even wanders into that territory he says "by 2030." The unbelievable lack of self-awareness it takes to post something like this when you are on the side of "Children in North America and Europe won't know what snow is by the year 2015" or "There will be no ice on the polar caps in the summer" (It reached record levels in the southern hemisphere a couple years later) or "Seafront property will be underwater" (The bankers and climate fraudsters are still buying up ocean front property because the water levels haven't budged). Or the side that worries that warm temperatures -- associated with abundance of life would be something to worry about to begin with! Imagine thinking it would be better to slide into an ice age than to turn the entire planet into a tropical paradise! You're a bunch of lunatics. Literally worse than every other religion combined. Doomsday prophecies you merely push back by 10 years every time they fail to materialize. At least the Christians believe God is coming to save them. You think you need to enslave all of the non-believers or the world is going to end in -- what is it, now? Seven years? Please seek help.
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January 12-13 Thread the Needle Snow Event
SnOvechkin replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Perfect track for Ind-Det. Unfortunately as far as models are concerned there is not enough cold air to play with. Probably see snowflakes after rain but will have little to show for it -
Carpet is more beige in person, and I love wood panels! It's cozy
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Jack Straw from Wichita loves his muddy lawn
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Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
You're right. I'm happy to take the discussion elsewhere; I won't pursue it any further here -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yes I am just lost in the wilderness -- it wasn't a critique of your metaphor. Bleach is a harmful chemical solution that only serves one purpose. Carbon is the basic building block of life. It's defined as: "the life-giving element." You're right that one of us is lacking even a basic understanding of this stuff -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
cArBoN dIoXiDe iS BlEaCh -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ironically enough GFS now has an all rain solution for my area -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That was one run and the point is the GFS showed a rain-to-snow winter storm for each and every run. We are likely getting a rain-to-snow winter storm. They didn't mention the chance. Only rain. Don't move goalposts. Nobody said anything about details -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Nobody said anything about pinning down details. I suppose you think they should forego making any forecasts past the 24 hour range . A weak rain storm all the way to the Atlantic is not a lake-cutting deep low with a deformation snow band. -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The point is the Euro never showed a snow storm -- for anyone. Never showed a deepening low. Until yesterday morning. The GFS made it clear there was a winter storm brewing. It's generally the first model to show winter storm setups IMO and I find it irresponsible to toss its ideas until the Euro starts to agree. For example in my area the GFS has been consistently showing snow. GFS was giving us up to 18" in my county on some runs while NWS was "rain likely" for the duration, not even the mention of a 'chance' for snow or rain/snow. Obviously there was a chance. GFS needs to be respected a little more is all I'm saying -
I was having a conversation about this topic as a warning to my friend -- a transplant from Vegas -- just before I opened this thread! Indeed it's been extremely cloudy lately. I appreciate all the seasons and have gone for road trips just to enjoy the different scenes around the lakes... but can still feel that extra heaviness associated with the lack of sunshine. It is important to get as much sun as possible and to be aware of this effect. I will also add that it's not really a disorder if it's a perfectly natural phenomenon that affects everyone Pictured: me, this morning, enjoying the first real sunshine of the year (I also love lasagna)
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Yes it is no coincidence that our population centers lie just outside of snow belts
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Some day, I hope sooner than later, people will no longer use the word 'normal' when they mean to say 'average.' Then we can understand that there is no such thing as normal weather
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Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
re: "if you were paying attention two days ago GFS was lagging" Two days ago EC showed zero snow for any locations in the cont US aside from Washington State or Maine and a very weak (never reaching sub 1000mb) low spreading rain across the country while the GFS was already depicting a deepening low and a rain to moderate snow event for the midwest. vs. -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sunspots. That's it. It's a sunspot cycle. And it can be back-tested for thousands of years. You aren't a weather enthusiast. You're a socialist conspiracy theorist. Cope harder. The name-calling surely wins people over to your ridiculous assertion that it is man, and not the sun, which drives changes in climate -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Also you lose an argument when you start name-calling. Which means you lost before it even began. Excuse me while I pick up this W -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Silly me for noticing that the GFS is always ahead of the curve. Now that the EC is showing what the GFS has been printing for, oh, three days we have your attention. Cute. Why do they even run the GFS? lol -
Winter 2022/23 Short/Medium Range Discussion
SnOvechkin replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
lmao I was in Vegas and California. I used to post on the old East Coast Weather Forums