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About *Flash*

- Birthday December 6
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www.hisgirlfryday.com
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Location:
White Bluff, TN
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Or I guess it could have been where the hail was falling. SPC reports had big reports just west of me…
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No tornado…but an ominous lowering just northeast of Russellville earlier today. Plenty of greenage with that cell as it moved through Franklin, Lawrence, and Lauderdale counties. Some secondaries in and around the Shoals were closed off due to flash flooding and tree damage. Overall, storm mode was wayyy messier than I anticipated. I doubt the SPC risk zones verify for northern Alabama when all is said and done.
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Yeah, the threat all rides on cap status. These 'boom or bust' nocturnal threats...not my favorite at all.
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I'm considering chasing tomorrow into southern IL as opposed to going south on Saturday. Terrain and timing are motivating factors. Thoughts?
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Wouldn't surprise me if middle TN comes out of this relatively unscathed, granted for west/southern middle/southeast TN...different story. Too many times in this scenario, I've seen some sort of stabilizing intrusion cap the severe criteria potential. Looking at the 18z guidance, the bulk of the greatest energy will be well south of BNA. Plenty of time for adjustments but frankly, I'm not worried or amped up about the threat. That said, I'm looking forward to a chase down 65. Could be a red letter day for our friends in MS/AL/GA.
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I'll have to check those forums out. Since you're cross-posting, I advise you just share the visuals directly as a courtesy. If you throw out names casually, not everyone will know who you're talking about.
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Fred and Andy? What posts on here are you referring to?
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13 years ago today...filmed from Brentwood on my last dumbphone. At the time, I had no idea this cell was dropping baseball sized hail (in southern Davidson) and putting down a trail of property damage. Terrible destruction in Kentucky and southern Indiana was occurring as well. I believe the greater kinematics were over those regions.
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Completely unrelated but stumbled upon the Kingston Springs CF6 for January 1977. No wonder people thought an ice age return was imminent. As for 1985, despite the -52.3 departure on 1/21, that month would 'only' finish 9.5 below normal. I don't expect these cold anomalies will ever happen again...
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If winter is over, my location wraps up with about ~8.5" which for this part of the state, is fine by me. On a side note, February for western BNA suburbs are pretty much at 0 for monthly temp departures. I know we're about to warm up but relative to recent Februarys, I'm grateful for a seasonal second month of the year.
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A fresh inch overnight (taken on top of my van which I cleared off yesterday). Totally unexpected. Got to think verification odds were under 1% for my location (news outlets had flurries passing north of here towards the plateau but that was it). Apparently the lake-effect nature of the squalls have had a more southerly orientation. Total storm accumulation now sits at 3.7”.
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A light snow/ice pellet mix has started in White Bluff. Technically, about 15-20 minutes in. Dusting on the cars, porch tables, and rooftops.