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About *Flash*
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- Birthday December 6
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www.hisgirlfryday.com
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White Bluff, TN
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On a separate note, really happy for my friends down in Mobile. Random fact but for one glorious year, I was a met major at USA. Late 2000’s roughly. Loved the program but ultimately went a different direction as it became clear the occupation would have consumed me entirely. Pretty hard decision back then but made a lot of great friends and let me tell ya, getting an excused absence to go stormchase, doesn’t get much better than that.
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Yeah, probably right. Winter ain’t over though. That’s for darn sure.
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Sooo…anyone want to talk about Sunday/Monday? What the Euro AI is seeing? Could just be cold chasing moisture but it seems like the sniffing out period has begun.
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Thank you, Carver, for redirecting focus to the future. Certainly helps on days like today.
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Took half the kiddos to Cookeville. About an inch but it went a long way. Wasn't too wet and had plenty of crunch. Roadways, primary and secondary, were fantastic so it was a great day to get out. Probably a quarter inch back in the Bluff as we left around 9 am but it's all gone now except shady areas.
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More fun from Bobby: “4 pm Update 1/18 for Middle Tennessee winter Weather later tonight and Sunday morning. We get into the left exit region of that 100 kt speed max in the overnight hours tonight into Sunday morning. The latest forecast soundings have found more moisture than previous runs. I now think 1/2 inch with up to 1 inch looks possible in the Nashville area. 1 inch along the plateau but upwards of 2 possible in the Upper Cumberland. That 10 model blend looks good to me for amounts through 6 pm Sunday. CAMS blend is also good. Freezing almost down to Kuttawa Kentucky at 3 pm 1/18. I'll do another update this evening.”
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Health pending, I’ll likely be in Monterey tomorrow so I’ll follow up with some ground truth this time tomorrow.
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This is going to be an historic storm for places that may not see snow for a decade (or more) after this. At ths point, I'd rather not see a northwest trend to keep the proximity tease subdued. I know a 'L' is a 'L' but losing by 30 is easier for this guy to swallow than at the buzzer. On a side note, it would be fun if this forum had a poll option. I imagine we'll see some guidance corrections today: Would you rather be in Birmingham, Atlanta, or Charlotte at this stage of the game?
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12z HRRR paints a slightly more realistic picture than it was yesterday, though there are still several 1" bands on the map. The plateau looks good to me. Hopefully, we can capitalize on what will be the mid-state's best chance for snow during the next 7 days... s
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Typical of them. I get playing it safe but lacking testicular fortitude is another issue altogether. Seems to me at least part of the plateau will be worth of a WWA.
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Per Bobby Boyd: “3 pm Update for snow potential this weekend 1/18-19. I blended several models, including 18Z 12km NAM. It's looking more likely for light accumulating snow in Middle Tennessee Saturday night/very early Sunday as we get into the left exit region of the upper jet. My Tempest blend has it snowing in Nashville from 9 pm Saturday evening 1/18, until 3 am 1/19, Sunday morning. This time frame expanded considerably over the last 3 runs.”
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This weekend is essentially 'Operation: Can I Buy an Inch?' to go along with my icebox conditions? The 18z HRRR offers some hope...
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That was some front! I want to say my area got about 1.5" out of that. Not much...but then again, I would gladly take a repeat.
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