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CT Valley Snowman

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Everything posted by CT Valley Snowman

  1. the nam needs to hold ground and the other models need to tick slightly west or its going to turn into a central and eastern New England special.
  2. is anyone concerned that it still corrected somewhat northeast and that the trend may continue?not to be a Debbie Downer it looks like an absolutely beautiful run I just want to make sure it can hold.
  3. and I really hope you're right, RGEM and GFS do not look like they want to push west at all.
  4. it looks like there was another dual low pressure on the Gem at hour 24, without an nice clean and early enough capture ,Western New England could be toast.
  5. honest assessment Mets please, how concerned should we be from the Connecticut River Valley points west?
  6. I'm just starting to familiarize myself with sref, at what time does the next set come out?
  7. Sounds good to me. Everyone is going to get smoked and elevation there is good. The deformation band is still an unsettled matter in my mind but that may be a nowcast situation.
  8. Taunton Disco talks about how banding can pivot further west in intense cyclones. It could be right but I think it could tick west if that same track holds.
  9. starting at 12 to 24 would have been better than 20-30 down there.
  10. Wondering if we converge on a Feb 2006 type placement on the Deform band?
  11. taking a closer look at the RGEM , that deformation banding was definitely a little heavier and a tic west of the previous run. The overall track looks almost identical.
  12. Cant sleep much, way too amped. Just a bit if dozing off and a touch of R.E.M.
  13. Very close to that sucker hole over Tolland County here. Makes me nervous. Someone is going to get dry slotted.
  14. Euro ensembles looked locked and loaded. Control run almost mirrors the OP, maybe a touch more snow.
  15. I honestly think Euro will tick east, the rest of the guidance will tick west again and we will have our final solution. I hope I'm right
  16. I noticed how it jumped when the phasing occurred, the center relocated to the east and then headed north. Not sure if that jump was legitimate or a convective feedback issue. Could be right but the Euro is definitely must see TV now.
  17. Suddenly more on the fence here on the NAM but for the position of the Low i would argue the precip shield is too eroded on the west side.
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