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CT Valley Snowman

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Everything posted by CT Valley Snowman

  1. CT Valley Snowman
    We all now know the deal. There will be some warmer periods and some cool downs, and the month will likely finish AN. Because that is pretty much our standard default unless there is strong evidence to the contrary. And as the month progresses, we gradually start to step down as we lose daylight etc. 19 out of the past 24 months have finshed AN at BDL, according to a quick search I did. You need some pretty strong evidence to bet against that.
  2. CT Valley Snowman
    Dave is not a met, but he is very knowledgeable and a good commnicator. Consistently voted as the best forecaster in WMASS by the Pioneer Valley Advocate and has a large following. Understands the local climatology, topography, and nuances of forecasting in the region well. His focus is WMASS but he extends into SVT,SWNH and NCT. He's not infallible. but I find him very solid.
  3. CT Valley Snowman
    That's a problematic looking rain train from from Providence down to Old Saybrook.
  4. CT Valley Snowman
    Wouldn't be shocked if some of us in the interior west of the heavy rain axis pick up like .5 to 1.5" in afternoon convection.
  5. CT Valley Snowman
    Would rather jack in the winter but that basically doesn't happen here.
  6. CT Valley Snowman
    There are some stations within a radius of a few miles from here that are up around 4". Others are closer to 3".
  7. CT Valley Snowman
    Thankfully there is some movement and not a complete stall. Already up around 3" in this area.
  8. CT Valley Snowman
    Pounded.
  9. CT Valley Snowman
    HRRR is close to a jack here. Don't really need or want it. Send it up Dendy's way.
  10. CT Valley Snowman
    Looking at radar, the best action may stay west of me. Current activity doesn't look as impressive as earlier.
  11. CT Valley Snowman
    Grabbed .5 earlier. Let's see if we get any more.
  12. CT Valley Snowman
    We pour. Everything lush and green.
  13. CT Valley Snowman
    Is that updated? I think Hubbdave had more yesterday alone than that map is showing. And that 5.09 near BDL seems low. They've had over 4" just from this storm.
  14. CT Valley Snowman
    .35 in the bucket today. Not sure how much more we get.
  15. CT Valley Snowman
    Saw a report of 5.72" in Suffield. 4.3" BDL.
  16. CT Valley Snowman
    Dumping here. About 2.25" two day total.
  17. CT Valley Snowman
    2 day total? If so, that's a big time stein.
  18. CT Valley Snowman
    Dumping across the river, just light rain in Enfield.
  19. CT Valley Snowman
    About .4 on the day. 1.5 including yesterday. Slot coming by noon.
  20. CT Valley Snowman
    Yeah, if this band of rains pivots through and then we slot by afternoon the totals will underperform in this area. At least we got the rain yesterday.
  21. CT Valley Snowman
    WOR jack seems most probable in SNE to me. Seems to be the most likely pivot point for the banding.
  22. CT Valley Snowman
    1.10 at a nearby PWS. Solid out the gate. Looks like BDL is close to 2".
  23. CT Valley Snowman
    Heaviest to my west but a decent downpour here. Estimating about .9 on the day. A PWS a bit to my east is at .80 and one a bit to my west is just over 1".
  24. CT Valley Snowman
    Raining again. Off to a decent start here.
  25. CT Valley Snowman
    Probably about half of that in my part of town but I was between the heaviest cores.
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