CT Valley Snowman

We all now know the deal. There will be some warmer periods and some cool downs, and the month will likely finish AN. Because that is pretty much our standard default unless there is strong evidence to the contrary. And as the month progresses, we gradually start to step down as we lose daylight etc. 19 out of the past 24 months have finshed AN at BDL, according to a quick search I did. You need some pretty strong evidence to bet against that.

Dave is not a met, but he is very knowledgeable and a good commnicator. Consistently voted as the best forecaster in WMASS by the Pioneer Valley Advocate and has a large following. Understands the local climatology, topography, and nuances of forecasting in the region well. His focus is WMASS but he extends into SVT,SWNH and NCT. He's not infallible. but I find him very solid.

That's a problematic looking rain train from from Providence down to Old Saybrook.

Wouldn't be shocked if some of us in the interior west of the heavy rain axis pick up like .5 to 1.5" in afternoon convection.

Would rather jack in the winter but that basically doesn't happen here.

There are some stations within a radius of a few miles from here that are up around 4". Others are closer to 3".

Thankfully there is some movement and not a complete stall. Already up around 3" in this area.

Pounded.

HRRR is close to a jack here. Don't really need or want it. Send it up Dendy's way.

Looking at radar, the best action may stay west of me. Current activity doesn't look as impressive as earlier.

Grabbed .5 earlier. Let's see if we get any more.

We pour. Everything lush and green.

Is that updated? I think Hubbdave had more yesterday alone than that map is showing. And that 5.09 near BDL seems low. They've had over 4" just from this storm.

.35 in the bucket today. Not sure how much more we get.

Saw a report of 5.72" in Suffield. 4.3" BDL.