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Orangeburgwx

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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx

  1. SFC low at 144 is a hair further ESE and a tad quicker than 18z
  2. How does it look over SC vs the 12z?
  3. How's it look? More suppressed to the south or ticked north?
  4. High too strong, second low stays off the coast
  5. Here comes the cut off low at 210... Temps in the 20s all the way to Savannah
  6. 0z: 8/50 ensembles give me snow 12z: 31/50
  7. FV3 on pivotal gives me .75" of snow and .4" ZR on the Kuchera
  8. No I won't, I will simply flat out admit I was wrong
  9. Southern edge is almost down to Columbia now... Let's see what the FV3 has in store
  10. Sorry everyone if it seems that im being a weenie, will try to curb my excitement...
  11. Banana high is a term used when a high (or pair of highs) bends around an area of low pressure and blocks it. It happened with Hurricane Florence and set it on a path to the Carolinas instead of OTS. The GFS has a track record (pun intended) for showing that BS about pile driving into HPs, it isn't going to happen, so the low will track further south as has been shown with both the GEFS (the GFS ensembles) and the EPS (Euro ensembles). That major suppression is why even my area is going to get at least SL/FL (Sleet or Flurries), I hope this helps.
  12. Less than a week out and all indicies show both Carolinas getting something... So let's bring this one all the way home
  13. That's a good point, because I read somewhere that during El Nino years, our cold base is in Alaska/Canada... The more cover they get the better off we are in this case
  14. Still heading due SW, this keeps going it might be a direct landfall in Myrtle Beach instead of sliding in to the north. Areas to the south end of the envelope just got put back on notice (I'm still under a TS Warning until further notice).
  15. Cranky is a EURO hater this time of year
  16. man that eye took a dead SW hook by looking at the Weather Channel coverage radar
  17. I just got put under a Tropical Storm Warning
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