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WinterWolf

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Everything posted by WinterWolf

  1. Thing is, we didn’t have a model war until 0z last night. Up to that point, all The major guidance were all in amazing lock step. GFS did the inevitable slide OTS/east as it many times does on major east coast cyclogenesis.
  2. The thing is almost on the S jersey shore....if anything it looks a smidge west to me..? But what a look...gorgeous.
  3. I think I more than made my point. I wouldn’t waste time writing them a letter. As Berg, Scott and Will just said what I was saying. If it acts as a block..it’s a block. Without the blocking..this is a cutter for sure. So the blocking(whatever the source, or combination of sources), its doing its job. That’s my only point. so to say no blocking was not correct. And I, or anybody here never said this thing stalls out due to a monster -NAO. But the blocking is there.
  4. Exactly. But to say no blocking so this is why they are leery is misleading. They Should have explained it better imo.
  5. I agree. But to say no blocking isn’t accurate. We’ll leave it there.
  6. Just saying what Will said. There is blocking or we wouldn’t be here at this moment. Why do You think this thing isn’t running into Buffalo? Thanks for the replies, but BOX’s idea of no blocking is not sound in that regard.
  7. Well, that’s not what Will was saying yesterday? He clearly was saying that we are gonna probably be very glad we have some -NAO cuz otherwise, this thing would be a cutter the way it wants to go negative that far west. That’s bs on their part saying no blocking.
  8. Agreed. I said this right before the Euro run at 12:30 am. And your confused emoji at my post a few minutes ago, I don’t get? Box is saying no blocking in their AFD..that’s puzzling because we do have some blocking.
  9. Whats up with BOX’s AFD where they say no blocking? I mean I know we haven’t had any blocking in yrs, but in this set up we have a bonafide 50/50, and some Negative NAO. And they say no blocking? Puzzling?
  10. That’s a very potent shortwave...have to keep that in mind too...
  11. Yup...steady as she goes. This run makes more sense with the players that are on the field for this event.
  12. Staying up for the Euro...this thing better not disappoint dammit.
  13. It’s not done there..more to come on that. That’s only 10 am on Thursday morning. If my math is right?
  14. I’ll take that 16-17 inches and be very happy on Crazy uncle.
  15. Like others have said...We were due for a whiff/miss. It’s pretty much inevitable in every evolution it seems, when modeling goes off the rails to some degree, and here it is.
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