WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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I guess better it shows a cutter a week out, than have SNE in a jackpot scenario a week out.
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Good...get it out of here and set us up for something better middle of next week...??
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Ok...I’ll say it first, post the mofo. Let’s see it.
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Have seen it in N. Maine many times over the years. Although haven’t seen it in about 6 or 7 yrs.
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Second half of winter, or second half of December Ray? I read that as second half of winter, but maybe I misunderstood your point?
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Yes..things change over a few days time. In this case it looks to be for the better, if you like a more wintry appeal.
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Hey, at least it’s active. Things to track and look at anyway.
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You guys might want to take this Enzo stuff to the Winter thread.
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Yup, the shit streak had early origins lmao.
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I think he meant your location in NH, and Alex’s in NH. ?
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And they’re Confused about a 957mb coastal low, 9 days from now not staying on the model. Guess they’re not to familiar with the ebb and flow of modeling?
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Although that development you speak of James, is not forecast to occur where we need it to. So 99.99% chance that development won’t happen, being its only 36 hrs or so out.
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957mb lol..it’ll be gone next run..so no worries.
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And sometimes (we’ve seen it happen), great patterns just don’t produce for whatever reason? Or they don’t produce what we winter enthusiasts may want. And sometimes the not so good looking patterns produce just fine, especially when you get some random timing that benefits the area etc etc.... I think that’s where we are currently as Will just pointed out. It’s not a text book gorgeous pattern... but maybe this plain Jane gives us a couple Chances going forward?
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This. Some folks live and die with each op run...that is a lesson in futility, and not the way to go through the winter...at least not for me. And even the ensembles have been erratic at times too. They’re gonna waffle, as you stated that’s what models do. Climo is heading in our favor now, let’s see how things play out. At least That’s how I feel now.
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Been up that way and through Quebec City and then over/through the Laurentians quite a few times, to go sledding in Jonquere/Chicoutimi area, now called Saugenay City I believe. Gorgeous and very wintry area for sure.
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I think we’ll have our chances...in SNE.
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I was 9, and would turn 10 about 5 wks later when the Blizzard of 78 hit. That was a very good winter obviously. The 80’s had a lot of suck..but there were some bright spots too thrown in. April of 82, Feb of 83, March of 84 just to name a few brighter spots. Thanksgiving of 89 had a nice snowstorm.
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Yup...it’s all a gamble. I’m not worried about the pig setting up shop all winter. If some want to be worried about some snapshot 3 wks into the future, we’ll that’s up to them. We’ll have our chances going forward...and climo is gaining for us now also.
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And there was also support for (the pattern)getting good now or very shortly...that changed fast too. 3 wks away is a long time. You know how it goes...there was support for a very nice looking pattern, until there wasn't support anymore.
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3 weeks from now is a long time....if it was showing a fantastic pattern for 3 weeks from now, would you be buying it?
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And they didn’t either.
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So you’re saying there’s a chance....? Personally imo, I’d give it a lil more chance than 35%. I’d say 50% especially as climo just keeps getting more and more favorable for SNE.
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We DIDNT.
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December 5-6, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Phin, are you on the east side of the whites/presidentials?
