WinterWolf

This ain’t set in stone…we watch.

You left it too long before the winter/snow set in Scott. That’s tough.

The next week only gets us to Monday the 16th..it was that day and beyond when it starts to look decent. But we’ll see. You on the cape…I get that. Temp went up as I drove…73 degrees..just wow.

Ya, it’s all Cool. I don’t think the chances are all done though. I think we see a trend back at some point. But my truck is reading 72 currently …so whatever.

He posted that after the 12z run yesterday…that’s my point.

This was yesterday afternoon…not the night before.

Close in come back probably gonna be the way this goes …if it happens.

Actually yesterday was when you said AI was Full Mast.

ABSOLUTELY.

There will be a few chances. Yesterday full Mast ahead…today done lol. A fickle model hugging crew.

After I posted, I was almost going to edit it, and say that too…but you are absolutely correct.

Lol…the big question will be if he ends up correct, cuz we know how this goes. Hope for his sake the models don’t flip back again. Or he’ll have to put out another post.

….Wolf is ok. I mean if we can pull off a warning event when the colder pattern returns, that’s great. But this is real nice today too, and if we can’t get anything to work out, I’m not gonna be too disappointed is my point. I’m not totally closing the book, still thing we have a shot or two next week.

You had your epicosity…be appreciative.

Yup..it’s beaut Clark. Feels like mid May. 70 is doable here too if we keep the breeze at bay.

Ya think Wednesday’s will suck out here WOR Wednesday? It will we escape it and have a good day?

Of course I read your post..I responded to it. And that was one run, the runs before were conducive. And it’s not just one chance either…so there’s that option. But Personally after being outside here just now…to hell with more snow. This is fabulous..and I’m ready to move on to the next season. But I also know it’s March 9th…

Lol…ya that’s up in the air at this early point. I’m not sold on a super Nino. But we’ll worry about that next August/September.

Lol…if I had a dollar for ever time you, or others have said this this year…same shit every single time. There’s plenty of time for changes. Again, not saying this will do that, just saying there’s more than enough time. That time frame has potential..but it’s still out there. We watch. Everything this year has come closer in…we watch.

I get it…overnight runs verbatim show that. But do we know if that trough will actually be that sharp 8-10 days from now? we don’t. That’s an easy fix at this lead…just like the run before 0z showed a hit. If we were talking 4 days away, different story. I don’t really care if it cuts or not…bring the nice weather. But the nice weather will be gone after mid week, and the pattern is conducive, so we watch of course. No worries either way.

Here’s The big takeaway…this always happens as we approach the mid range…the models lose the system either out to sea, or it turns into a cutter, or gets shredded. This is no different. Each time this year they’ve come back. The pattern supports a storm, that’s the important part. We will see where this heads over the course of this week. signal is there. Anybody who thought the models wouldn’t deviate from 8-10 days out was fooling themselves. This loss of the system was coming…it always does. Maybe this time it doesn’t come back, it’s as good a possibility as any, but we don’t know that yet. See where it stands come the end of the week…and that’s a ways out.

Yup..the takeaway is the support.

Yup, and that is the take away. It’s not being posted to say hey look what’s coming. It’s being posted to show support for the timeframe is all. Or at least should be looked at as such.

Ahh …gotcha. It gave ya some wood…nothing wrong with that. Good to hear.

We’re Not greedy, just give us one good one.