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LakeEffectKing

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by LakeEffectKing

  1. 73 Degrees here and Cazenovia with partly Sunny skies. Semi not looking for to 1 to 3" of snow on Monday, lol!!
  2. Check out the New England forum. There is your max pain!!!
  3. Many of the mesoscale models last night indicated it would lift north of Watertown for a bit ahead of the shortwave.... and a couple of them didn't have the band sweet completely through. They have it reoriented over Southern Oswego Onondaga and into Madison counties
  4. 2.5" here in Cazenovia since the flip at 5:45am....moderate snow, back edge about 1 to 1.5 hours away.
  5. Maybe... but ....you can mark my words if you want, but I think you're in prime location. As stated earlier, I think most of the models are a bit too far north with the main band. There's something about a multi late band connection that seems to drive it further south over Lake Ontario verses what the models depict.
  6. The tremendous in flow into the bands warrants the blizzard warnings... it looks like they will be shifting around bit... so even if you're not completely inside the band, blizzard conditions will exist. I think it's quite warranted.
  7. With regards to the LE band off Ontario, it is my experience that if we do in fact have upper lakes connection, many models tend to place the band a bit too far north. Though trivial to some, I'd slide the heaviest amounts south by 10-15 miles to include central/N. Oswego Co. (and the northern half of Oneida Co.) The Tug hill area of S. Lewis Co. will, of course, be hit hard as well, as the band broadens inland/upslope. Areas like Parish, Mexico, Camden, IMO, will/should be included in the 2-3' contour. Could see some thundersnow as we progress into Thurs. night/Friday morning. Wolfie/swva will get clobbered.
  8. I think this is going to be "your" event Wolfie…..finally!!!
  9. Well I can Say that and 2007, I received 40 inches in 8 hours in Parish... during which time I had several hours of 8 inches per hour.... And near the end of that time frame the snow was settling at about 1.5 inces per hour.
  10. Hang tough!!! It is a great area to experience winter's love!! Lived up in Parish my whole life....and we had our share of "down" years....but seeing 7+"/hr. and many 40+" events is well worth the few years that are "down".
  11. Three and a half inches of slop in Cazenovia. Air seems super moist so I'm wondering if we'll get a surprise with the frontal passage later.
  12. Now that is an objective take! Much different from the first few pages of this awful thread!
  13. From the album: 7"/hr. near Hartford

    My Aunt took this photo during what has been deemed "the death band" of the Blizzard of 2013...unofficially 7"/hr.
  14. LakeEffectKing

    7"/hr. near Hartford

    Blizzard 2013
  15. Here's another cool example of having fun with methane!
  16. What if "thy neighbor" has 2 Hummers and a 10,000sq. ft. home??? And if they love you just enough to take the bus into work a couple times a week....will he/she be vindicated of their environmental crimes in your eyes, because they indeed have "sacrificed" to an extent? Questions to ponder.....
  17. I'm thinking a couple of cows were hanging out by the monitor....but it's just a hypothesis....
  18. You missed my question....Does this recent discovery of an "explosion" of methane that the OP is hyping, indicate a heightened fear or is this just part of the "normal" AGW apocalyptic fear? I'm getting the feeling from reading this thread that I should take shelter.....
  19. Well, if anything, this "alarming" release should provide a further testing for global temperatures. So does this mean that the thoughts recently opined by many AGW proponents (that we may have a 2 decade stall in global temps) are out the window??? Or is this explosive methane release already factored in? What's the prediction NOW for the next few decades....because as it sounds like right now, if we have stable temperatures over the next 2 decades, it would be consistent with AGW....or if we have rapid warming, it will be DUE to AGW.
  20. If the Euro verifies as depicted, you guys get a once in 50 year or more storm! Sub 970, slowing down, originating from the GOM....30"+ amounts would be common....esp. in the hills.....let's all breathe!!!! Even in CNY, less qpf, but better ratios.....probably 18"
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