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LakeEffectKing

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Everything posted by LakeEffectKing

  1. LakeEffectKing
    Yeah...put me down for putrid, when describing the NWS radar.... Guess I'll stick with College of DuPage's radar...
  2. LakeEffectKing
    9.5 days
  3. LakeEffectKing
    Thicknesses shrink about 2.5 miles (400dam) in 18 hrs....Serious cold advection!!!
  4. LakeEffectKing
    Looks like gfs forms a wave along the front and provides a bit of goods for most of our area.
  5. LakeEffectKing
    Glancing over all the gfsv16 model runs prior to the storm, It certainly seemed to handle the system much better than the current GFS version.
  6. LakeEffectKing
    GFS parallel handled this pretty well on Sunday!!! And were close to my thoughts then. A little overdone on the northern fringes.
  7. LakeEffectKing
    3" in Caz. overnight. I think there is still some sorting out in model land to be had. Safe to say this will not be a total whiff for points South and East of an Ithica/Syracuse/Utica line, as had been depicted by several models at one time or another. Decreasing lead times and the trend over the last couple runs leads me to believe that we are at least going to have a minor to moderate impact from this storm in CNY and points SE. WNY should sneak out an inch or two, imo, att.
  8. LakeEffectKing
    I really don't think this is a difference (directly) as how different models the models "see" the storm...it's more about the differences in how much the confluence to the NE is being depicted/handled by the various models, and that indirectly plays a key role in how the mid level features play out....right now the GFS doesn't develop any (or very little) FG forcing in the mid levels in NYS, but many of the other models do, to various degrees.
  9. LakeEffectKing
    RGEM 12z slightly closer to Jersey coast, precip marginally further NW.....
  10. LakeEffectKing
    And if this storm does provide "some" goods....I think the ratios will be a good deal higher than 10:1.....probably more like 12-14:1.
  11. LakeEffectKing
    A slight shift from 06z..
  12. LakeEffectKing
    Hey all. IMO, as has been discussed a bit earlier and needs to be emphasized, for much of Upstate NY, the exact track of the slp is less important than the evolution of the mid and upper level features, particularly at the h850 and h700 levels. The models currently indicating a more favorable set up with these features for our area is euro ensemble mean, Icon, para GFS, and probably extrapolated NAM. I like where we are right now, particularly BGM, SYR and points SE. 00z Parallel GFS "feels" like a nice candidate for verification.
  13. LakeEffectKing
  14. LakeEffectKing
    Crap...I thought the contest was min pressure/max wind before LF... I screwed up...
  15. LakeEffectKing
    899 150kts
  16. LakeEffectKing
    Lol! Potential for about 5-7 landfalls in FL and the N GOM coast within two days!!
  17. LakeEffectKing
    If the eye clears in the next 4-6 hours, and the eye radius isn't too large, and with 12-18 hrs. of favorable conditions, Cat 4 is back on the table. before any anticipated weakening.
  18. LakeEffectKing
    Ummm.....Marco already was a hurricane in the GOM.....before Laura...
  19. LakeEffectKing
    The soon to be named Josephine will become a hurricane in 2 or 3 days, with a chance of RI when the shear is projected to drop to zero. MH threshold is not out of the question. Thereafter, I could see a pretty rapid weakening (decoupling) in about 4-6 days, if the shear values that are progged come to fruition.
  20. LakeEffectKing
    N95 masks will offer the wearer a decent amount of protection...it's why medical professionals wear them. A cloth "face covering" certainly protects "others" more than the wearer, however, I'd argue that even a cloth covering does offer varying degrees of protection to the wearer vs. nothing, depending on a multitude of factors.
  21. LakeEffectKing
    I'm guessing/estimating that (now that testing is "better") we can look at the data and make some rudimentary (fitting into commonsense) deductions that the daily death counts in a particular area, are going to lag behind the "confirmed" cases by 10 days or so */- a few days..... ….thus, it's nice to see Italy's daily confirmed cases on a nice, prolonged downward slope.
  22. LakeEffectKing
    I read another article that Drs. were perplexed because they were getting really low oxygen levels in the blood of patients, yet CT scans/x-rays of lungs weren't "that bad".....it sounds like (from my modest biology knowledge) that this virus may indeed be more of an inhibitor of the normal uptake of oxygen at the red blood cell membrane level, and not so much a "respiratory" (aka...SARS) disorder. Thus, blood transfusions/100 oxygen hoods, and potentially hydroxychloroquine/Zithro treatments may be a better option than vents.....just thinking out loud as a layperson...
  23. LakeEffectKing
    Interesting read... http://web.archive.org/web/20200405061401/https://medium.com/@agaiziunas/covid-19-had-us-all-fooled-but-now-we-might-have-finally-found-its-secret-91182386efcb
  24. LakeEffectKing
    I wonder how many of those 2200 tests are people who reside in Onondaga Co. I know many outside the Co. Were being sent to the drivethrough testing site in Syr....
  25. LakeEffectKing
    Now that is an objective take! Much different from the first few pages of this awful thread!
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