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LakeEffectKing

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by LakeEffectKing

  1. LakeEffectKing
    I think, with decent ratios, someone in S. Oswego Co. or N. Onondaga Co. will see 8"+ overnight.
  2. LakeEffectKing
    Not strong, yet...but certainly some seeding, and maybe a bit of the remnant vertical circulation. If it does make a strong connection it will become oriented a little bit more WNW as opposed to due West along the South shore. Either way, I think you and Brian are in pretty good shape...but it will be pretty narrow.
  3. LakeEffectKing
    Mod snow in Bridgeport.
  4. LakeEffectKing
    Hey @wolfie09you getting pounded?
  5. LakeEffectKing
    h500 does not look great imo to get this further NW, att.
  6. LakeEffectKing
  7. LakeEffectKing
    This hobby humbles us all....
  8. LakeEffectKing
    Well, the issue (post mortem) was 2 fold. I think it is just difficult for the models to handle slp placement when upper levels support an slp on top of the mountains...then/if models do resolve the correct lp placement (in this case to the west) they seem to way underdo the warm air advection. All IMO, of course.
  9. LakeEffectKing
    For as long as I can remember, models underestimate the warmth thrown northward (at many levels) when systems are west of the apps....and it happens alot, but this was extreme!
  10. LakeEffectKing
    You are not alone my friend. This was a case where we witnessed models weaknesses....
  11. LakeEffectKing
    Wow....insane!!
  12. LakeEffectKing
    Looks like the WSI radar needs some tweeking..
  13. LakeEffectKing
    IP+ in Caz.
  14. LakeEffectKing
    Started in Caz..pretty steady considering the returns over me....1.5" during day today. Temp at 22 currently.
  15. LakeEffectKing
    If the WSI precipitation type radar Is to be believed, then the majority of the models have been too far Northwest with the snow sleet line all day long. I think the pingers stay south..models, imo, are having a tough time with the cold air at the low-levels with the track of this system.....
  16. LakeEffectKing
    Me more than anyone!!!
  17. LakeEffectKing
    Just something to keep track of as we go into the evening. It may have something to do with the atmospheric set up down there that is throwing the models off with the algorithms... Not sure..
  18. LakeEffectKing
    Again, GFS initializes sn/ip line wrong. 12z GFS at 18z: Current radar:
  19. LakeEffectKing
    Front is east of current modeling:
  20. LakeEffectKing
    1st flakes are flying here in Bridgeport
  21. LakeEffectKing
    Nam initialized sn/sleet line wrong.
  22. LakeEffectKing
    Based on viewing some upstream data, I feel somewhat confident that the models will tic back southeast with the snow/sleet line for late tonight...fingers crossed!
  23. LakeEffectKing
    Water pipes will be bursting everywhere.
  24. LakeEffectKing
    Obs from TX, LA, AR are pretty much all snow...Nam no clue..
  25. LakeEffectKing
    Nam is off a bit down south with p-type:
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