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LakeEffectKing

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by LakeEffectKing

  1. Yep.... And to clarify, The warm air usually over performs.... Hope I'm wrong.
  2. Thinking this storm has a high bust potential...."noses of warm air" usually end up over-performing around here with these modeled tracks....
  3. Not sure what's going on with TT's snow algorithm, but totally different output, especially in PA, where there won't be 3-4"....
  4. I think you're in a good spot with a front end dump.... Then maybe some mixing at the tail end. Places I would worry about, Is the Western finger lakes and the lake Ontario lake plain.
  5. 2" this morning in Cazanovia. Looks like I might jackpot.. I think ratios go way up overnight tonight so I'm thinking the higher elevations East Southeast of Syracuse may end up with 10 to 12" of snow by noon tomorrow. Lower elevations look to get 4 to 8".
  6. Yep..1-2" otg....about 3.5" on the car. 20211116_070148.mp4
  7. First flakes here in Cazenovia. (1200') As wet as can be....37 degrees.
  8. Yep...you're right...155 is reportable...confused it with 135...God I'm getting old...
  9. Not liking the slow movement....20"+ in some places I'm afraid...
  10. Thanks bud...back attcha... Studying these things with passion over a good chunk of my 53 years, I guess has value...ie...being an old fart!!
  11. Yeah....I thought it might get 5 mire knots...and since it's "not technically possible" to report 155, it really was a hairs breath from 160...
  12. Thanks buddy!! Writing was on the wall...
  13. No.... Just saw it on The Weather Channel.... Via a webcam they showed..
  14. Grand Isle Louisiana has rapidly rising waters, per Weather Channel. Webcam is sickening...
  15. Remember, this is the one point where 5 knots of increase equates to 10 miles per hour increase. There is no such thing as a 155 mile per hour hurricane.
  16. ... Or I can just follow this thread and accept the 3 second delay, lol!
  17. 06z HWRF...About 20mi further east (from 00z run) at closest NOLA approach.
  18. This may get to 160...gonna be close to see if we get a perfect "punch hole" eye...
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