I think you're in a good spot with a front end dump.... Then maybe some mixing at the tail end.
Places I would worry about, Is the Western finger lakes and the lake Ontario lake plain.
2" this morning in Cazanovia. Looks like I might jackpot.. I think ratios go way up overnight tonight so I'm thinking the higher elevations East Southeast of Syracuse may end up with 10 to 12" of snow by noon tomorrow. Lower elevations look to get 4 to 8".
Remember, this is the one point where 5 knots of increase equates to 10 miles per hour increase. There is no such thing as a 155 mile per hour hurricane.