Last spring was a perfect balance of mild sunny days and garden variety storms, at least in my area. Not a fan of the absurdly wet patterns that we have seen in many of our recent springs, but to each their own.
Still wouldn’t rule out a warm month for a good chunk of the CONUS. The Euro AIFS in particular is not at all buying into the cold that the GFS seems to be exaggerating in recent runs.
Interesting outlook from TWC, particularly in regards to January which I was not expecting to see. I know they aren't great, but still. https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2024-12-18-january-february-march-2025-temperature-forecast-outlook
A lot of people on here are severely mentally ill IMO, hence why you're seeing these weird knee-jerk reactions to your very informative and insightful posts.
I think it’s quite clear at this point the Xmas period into the end of the month is going to be warm for all of us. I didn’t believe it would be initially, but guidance has trended significantly warmer for that period. Question really is how warm. Could be anywhere from moderately above average to possibly record warm. Just have to wait and see.