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Maxim

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Everything posted by Maxim

  1. Maxim
    Time to move on to spring y’all
  2. Maxim
    Wouldn’t trust anything that model shows tbh
  3. Maxim
    Beautiful
  4. Maxim
    I see 2012 as an analog, which was such a statistical outlier. I do think March will be warm this year, but I doubt it comes anywhere near 2012
  5. Maxim
    Because it's not going to verify
  6. Maxim
    Someone really needs to fix the twitter embed issue on this site, but anyway, Eric Webb seems to think this advertised, noteworthy pattern change is legit.
  7. Maxim
    Nearly every long-range ensemble I've seen is showing a very warm pattern nationally starting around mid-March. Normally I wouldn't put too much stock into it because it's so far out, but the consistency has been remarkable (can't ever recall such consistency as this range), and has been trending warmer in recent days.
  8. Maxim
    First week of March doesn't look nearly as cold all of a sudden. Again, long-range modeling/forecasting is shit in general and shouldn't be taken very seriously (for now).
  9. Maxim
    CFS is dead set on a drastic pattern shift to warm/very warm for much of the CONUS starting around mid-March. It's super far out, but it's been remarkably consistent with this pattern change (has even trended warmer in recent days), so it'll be interesting to see what happens. It has support from the extended GEFS as well, so there may be some truth to it. One thing is clear, however: the first week of March will be cold.
  10. Maxim
    If using the East Asia Rule, there should be a decent warm-up during the second week of March. But really, anything past day 10 is just throwing darts in the dark. Besides, no one should be expecting consistent spring warmth until well into April anyway. Last year and 2012 were exceptions
  11. Maxim
    It’s okay to be wrong sometimes, no one is perfect.
  12. Maxim
    I had mentioned how this spring has the potential to be extremely warm (at least at times) barring any major SSW event. We’ll see how things turn out, but it just doesn’t feel like one of those years where unwanted cold and snow linger well into April or whatever.
  13. Maxim
    Lol
  14. Maxim
    Extremely hard to believe this verifies for NE IL, but we'll see. HRRR was pretty lackluster, and it's had a tendency to overdo snowfall amounts
  15. Maxim
    Does Chicago even see an inch out of this? Not that I really care but damn lol
  16. Maxim
    Yeah, looks pretty meh again for the Chicago metro
  17. Maxim
    I'd like to see more data of March 1843. That month was colder than like >90% of Jans and virtually every Feb and Dec from what I gather, which seems almost impossible, but apparently it really was THAT cold.
  18. Maxim
    Can't wait to see how far off from reality these outputs end up being (again).
  19. Maxim
    Nah, save that for April/May.
  20. Maxim
    Generally take the inverse of what they say. Usually works out quite well
  21. Maxim
    The -EPO really needs to go. Been screwing up the entire pattern this month. Seeing signs of it returning again, but not sure how long it'll last.
  22. Maxim
    The Midwest is currently experiencing record breaking warmth. Chicago may even tag 60 tomorrow. Don’t think any of the long-range ensembles saw that coming.
  23. Maxim
    Still too low IMO, but that's nice to see.
  24. Maxim
    Bust Edit: dummy doesn't even understand why I'm referring to it as a bust and likes my post, lol
  25. Maxim
    That’s it? damn
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