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Poimen

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Everything posted by Poimen

  1. Poimen
    Not really. Two totally different scenarios.
  2. Poimen
    Yeah, it’s a little early for “congrats” or “woe is me.” Suppression is pretty much a good sign for most of this sub forum. Relax and enjoy the ride this week. At the very least, some of us might see the first flakes of the season, and if we’re lucky some might see much more.
  3. Poimen
    12Z GGEM has the center between Lookout and HAT at 12Z Friday...FWIW.
  4. Poimen
    As a life-long Outer Banker (until recently), my experience plus the current modeling suggests to me that a landfall closer to Cape Lookout seems more reasonable at the moment. That's just my 2 pennies.
  5. Poimen
    Dollars to donuts says the EURU completely caves this afternoon.
  6. Poimen
    We can't even buy a flippin' clipper. When was the last time a clipper even produced anything east of the mountains? Anyone remember?
  7. Poimen
    What's the over/under on the next SREF mean for RDU? BY the way...pulling for you guys in the Triangle.
  8. Poimen
    RAH is fairly bullish with the next round--1-2 and possibly 3" amounts in the Triad.
  9. Poimen
    using the Kuchera method, the 18Z NAM drops 6" in eastern Forsyth county. We'll see.
  10. Poimen
    We have a dusting in Kernersville.
  11. Poimen
    Interesting. The soundings all looked good to me. But hey--I'll gladly take whatever at this point.
  12. Poimen
    The NAM is a great run for the Triad.
  13. Poimen
    The models seem to have overestimated qpf amounts in the NC piedmont this morning. Otherwise, they seem on track. It's always good to see that precip shield in MS/AL.
  14. Poimen
    I still think the accumulating snow holds off in the Triad until tonight and early Saturday. Radar is not all that impressive over the area currently.
  15. Poimen
    Latest 1" and 6" snowfall probabilities through 7am Saturday.
  16. Poimen
    Welcome to the south, my friend!
  17. Poimen
    Some of you are going to like the 0Z RGEM.
  18. Poimen
    Where have I seen this before? lol
  19. Poimen
    The 18Z GFS showed rain tomorrow with an expanding precip shield to the NW, then gradually changing to snow from west to east overnight and Saturday. That's probably the best scenario at this point. I wouldn't expect much in the way of snow tomorrow in NC outside of the mountains.
  20. Poimen
    I think the 18Z GFS is much more realistic, showing an expanding rain shield to the NW tomorrow (snow in the mountains), then changing to snow from west to east across the foothills and northern Piedmont as the entire system shifts east Saturday morning.
  21. Poimen
    Thanks, Grit!
  22. Poimen
    Agreed completely. One question about the EURO: Does it extend the precip into Saturday?
  23. Poimen
    Yeah--let's remember that more often than not, even in January, those snowfall maps end up being reduced by at least half, if not more. As others have said, I'd be shocked if anyone receives more than a car topper this time around. But be of good cheer, winter seems to be setting in for the foreseeable future.
  24. Poimen
    Forgive me if this is addressed elsewhere, but can someone explain the difference between the NSIDC numbers and Wipneus' numbers posted on the Arctic Sea Ice forums? According to his figures, extent and area have only declined since the 25th. Why is there such a discrepancy?
  25. Poimen
    Like I said, we'll see what happens. Given the UK/CM are both north of the GFS lends credence to the NW trend theory. Time will tell.
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