
Spartman
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Everything posted by Spartman
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DAY is at 3.2" for the season. The highest snowfall of the month AND this season is 0.8" on both the 16th and yesterday. Based on trends, heading into February without a 1+" snowfall event is a lock. Last time this happened was 1982-83. Besides 1982-83, the other seasons where not one 1+" snowfall event occurred through the end of January are 1949-50, 1927-28, and 1918-19. The latter is the only one without any 1+" snowfall the entire season.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The only saving grace during next month would be a SSWE like what the Tennessee Valley forums just discussed about the long range 06z GFS this morning. -
Only got 0.4" from today's "clipper".
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Won't be this Feb. Feb is 100% done. It'll have to wait until March for at least one more snowfall opportunity, but it's otherwise time to punt until 2022-23. -
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Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 00z GFS: 00z Euro: 00z NAM: 00z Canadian:
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NWS ILN still looking good:
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Clipper keeps getting shifted northward on the latest GFS, Euro, and NAM. 06z GFS: 00z Euro: 06z NAM: Still good on the latest UK and Canadian runs, as well as the recent extended HRRR (06z) and RAP (09z) runs. 00z UK: 00z Canadian:
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DAY got 0.8" of snow, highest snowfall of the season. Now at 1.7" for the season. Still waiting for the first 1+" snowfall.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
CPC has finally updated their MJO today. After recently reaching Phase 8, we have fallen into the COD for at least the remainder of this month. -
Shifted back West a little bit on 00z runs of the NAM, Euro, and Canadian models. 00z NAM: 00z Euro: 00z Canadian:
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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February is supposed to suck next month. There have been a lot of talks about next month being very mild. We'll be paying for that next year.
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Already around the middle of the month, and I'm stuck with only 0.1" of snowfall for this month. This currently ties 1989 for 2nd least snowiest January.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Regarding the final third of this month, according to Scott Sabol: -
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Nor the 0z Euro
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Why not Spring at the earliest?!
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Not only we're be going to end up with single-digit snowfall totals by March, but we may very well go for one of the least-snowiest Januaries and even one of the least snowiest Winters this year.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Do we dare wait until at least next month for the first 1+" daily snowfall of the season? DAY's latest first 1+" daily snowfall is February 18, 1928 with 1.3". ONLY one time DAY ever failed to record a day with at least one inch of snow the entire season was 1918-19. The highest daily snowfall during 1918-19 was just 0.6" on both January 7th and February 8th of 1919. So far this season, DAY's highest daily snowfall is 0.4" on November 14, 2021.