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dilly84

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Everything posted by dilly84

  1. Be impossible to measure accurately regardless. Just a gut feeling it's gonna be bigger than people expect. If you know me from the years here, I'm usually pessimistic. I just have a gut feeling with this one.
  2. I see no scenario where it's only 10:1 ratio. Not with these Temps. No way.
  3. Well every model but the NAM is giving most of us at least 4 or 5" will NAM pull the coup? If GFS becomes the accurate model, it'll be a sight to behold. 8-10" of snow in mainly 5hrs or so.
  4. Guess wait and see if it's a blip. NAM seemed a little stronger as well.
  5. Low seems to be about 75 miles SE on the 18z compared to 12z unless I'm seeing it wrong.
  6. GFS still trying to give me 8"+ not real sure what to make of it.
  7. Well the modeling sucks with qpf, they're all significantly different. 1" of snow with 40mph winds is wildly different than even 4" with 40 mph winds.
  8. Pretty big differences with amounts in the nam, gfs and rgem. Gfs using the kuchera map would give me a pretty hefty storm since it lollipops me lol.
  9. After seeing the 18z NAM(yes I know it's 18z), I agree that it may be time to stick a fork in this piece of crap.
  10. I mean, if the kuchera map is accurate, I'll take it.
  11. Assume you meant 6z. Weaker system overall, but a tad more snow for ohio. These 12z runs will be interesting today I have a feeling.
  12. GFS looks a bit further south and east. Bit weaker, but think we have to have it a tad weaker to get better snows here.
  13. Not even on the NAM or any short range models yet and half the group sounds like Grinches. Lord.
  14. I personally like where I'm sitting. Outside of the ICON, 12z runs all gave me at least 5" of snow, which I'd gladly take 2 days before Christmas.
  15. Definitely not done. Even the worst model still gives me 5" of snow. Except the ICON it's been bad from the beginning. That said I wouldn't trust any single run until tomorrow night.
  16. Come on guys, let's be optimistic. We are due a whopper.
  17. Steve didn't make a new one this year and is MIA. Must've had enough lol. At any rate, 2 systems showing up for the 22nd and 24th. Still way out but nice to dream.
  18. It's ohio. It can be 15° and warm tongue us. This one is gonna hopefully end up being mostly sleet instead if freezing rain, but I have a feeling we're gonna see significant zr.
  19. There's one model showing an inch for me and 2 others showing half inch.
  20. Starting to wonder if I don't need to worry about freezing rain here. Many models showing some significant zr.
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