dilly84
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Everything posted by dilly84
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Well to this point I'm putting no stock into any of tonight's runs. They're all different. Unless UKIE and Euro come in and match the GFS or something I'm not buying any of them. If I had to guess I'd say the Thursday system is messing with the solutions past that.
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Gem looks better just need a 50 mile east shift. Low looks in the same location but rain makes it further NW.
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These are the types of model days where I hate following weather. I mean what do you do with this cluster of a mess. It's quite comical really. Nam in Mexico Gfs weak Icon extreme north.... see what gem, fv3, ukie and euro bring. Any takers on one showing a cutter?
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Yep. Weak 1004 low gives 4" lol.
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And... through 66 gfs looks south of its 18z run.. suspense...edit: definitely south and east
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On the bright side it gives majority of Ohio an inch backend after the massive rain storm lol
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Must be in that messy model range where they go all over the place lol
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ICON with an extreme north jump. May be a rain storm on it lol.
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Seen that. Calling for 9 feet lmao.
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Nice but not accurate. Majority of what it's counting as snow would be freezing rain and sleet all the way to near Delaware county and east. There is accurate snowfall
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This is during the heaviest period of what appears as zr.
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Pretty comical reading the difference in forecast discussion between ILN, CLE, and PIT. PIT says its trending south, other two say north. But more comical is the different forecasts between me (Knox county CLE), Newark ILN, and Coshocton PIT. 3 counties border each other with different forecasts, cle has me all snow, Newark snow changing to rain, and a mix of sn, ip, and zr in coshocton. You'd think they'd work in some sort of tandem on big systems. Why is it they dont?
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Around 20 of the euro ensembles buries i70 and north, a few are thread the needle and some are significantly north.
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Stronger than last night's. But may bring more rain into eastern Ohio. But looks like most of us will be in very heavy snow.
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Edit: euro is a monster. Gets down to 992. Stays just south of Ohio and into Wv
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I wasn't either. I remember tracking it. I was 20 and the day before models showed heavy snow for us in coshocton county. Then 0z came in and it became obvious an ice storm was coming. Remember watching Chris Bradley on the news and showing Delaware, Ohio with something like 23" of snow. Was amazing if ya had a generator.
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Little talked about outside of forums, but the impact in central Ohio east, I'd actually put the storm up there with the blizzard of 78. The amount of ice and people without power for upwards of 2 weeks. Christmas day temps plummeted below zero. Was a bad time for everyone. We were fortunate enough to get the last generator within 50 miles of us thankfully. But the impact it had east of Columbus had to be up there.
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Understatement lol
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Fv3 is actually south of the 0z run at 96hrs. I Can't see past that yet.
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Not surprising with the gfs doing the same. But it doesn't appear the gfs actually went nw with the low. Just stronger allowing more waa to work in.
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Always enjoy your analogs.
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I should reiterate, the gfs itself is a bit south but it's much more ramped up bringing in more warm air resulting in an ice storm. Could be a blip or a trend
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Definitely a NW trend today. GFS, ICON both NW to start the day. But it's only Tuesday. I'm actually not too concerned cause I can see it eventually trending back south.
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Looks like itd be a full on blizzard for i70 on euro
