dilly84
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Everything posted by dilly84
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Sleet here... edit, changed to snow right after I typed it.
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Nothing but a dusting here. Dryslot non stop. Rap still hammers, but I just have a feeling the dryslot has allowed waa to move in. Starting to look like a bust. Hopefully something changes soon.
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Anyone else starting to get concerned? Many places reporting sleet and zr.
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Was modeled for a short time. I'm in dry slot hell.
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Models certainly aren't showing any moisture loss
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Not loving the choppiness. Dry slots are killer right now. Thoughts?
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Snow just started in knox. Let the fun begin. Dry slots.... blah...
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18z RAP. Models picking up on what I've been thinking. That the strength of that low and totals made little sense?
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18z NAM
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Already snowing in canton, per my cousin. So it's definitely arrived much sooner. Models didn't have snow in Central Ohio til 4 or so.
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I dont lol. I think you see at least 3 or 4". Didn't you used to live in newark?
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Snowing in Zanesville already, per report.
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Hi res models have it. Shouldn't effect us. Someone smarter than me, could we some thundersnow? Seems like conditions would be ripe for it.
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Final. Obvious hoping for over performance in the 2-4 - 4-6" area, but models aren't showing it. I just feel like the moisture shield isn't far enough west based on the low position. All we can do now is watch and hope there isn't a massive dry slot.
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Literally looks like an apps runner, which is normally perfect for Central Ohio. BUT, I digress. May have to drop my totals a tad. I have a feeling it'll over perform, but based on 12z models so far it appears it's the moisture part is weaker. 981mb low setting in State College I'd think we'd be get hammered on models but.. here we are. If this image doesn't frustrate you, nothing will lol.
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That's what it looks like. Low riding the coast, then the low moves further inland at hr 21 from Philadelphia to Gettysburg then moves north through State College.
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So far nam and rgem have shifted the heavier precip slightly east. Nam has me on the 8" line still, but barely. Rgem has moved me to the 4" range. What is frustrating is we have about a perfect low placement for a huge snow in Central Ohio. I gotta question if the qpf is being underdone in spots like over towards CMH.
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We'll see. I hate putting anything over 8" cause we always get burned in Ohio lol. Snowing on radar not reaching ground type crap lol
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First call. Will probably need adjustments east or west in the morning. Trends tonight were bumps west. Tight gradients make for ugly maps lol.
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Hrdps looks great. Think it's hi res version of the rgem. Rgem seems to be underdoing qpf.
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Impossible. Where that low is placed we'd get pummeled in Central Ohio. That model makes no sense.
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7.2"
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For where?
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Never been. I was in coshocton. Been at apple valley(near Mount vernon) for 6 years.
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Same here. That'd put me a little higher. I love the look of the hrrr. Just doesn't have the precip far enough west compared to where the low is. I'll say this someone in central Ohio is gonna get 10" hrdps for what it is actually makes the most sense with where the low is compared to moisture. It and the nam.
