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EHoffman

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Everything posted by EHoffman

  1. Light rain, pavement wet, don't really even see much accrual on branches or elevated surfaces.
  2. Light rain and 29 degrees. Cars are cased in ice not sure what else, haven't been outside.
  3. Only non-believers eschew the true King in favor of the false idol Euro
  4. Look at this SWS out of Dallas NWS: ...BRIEF MODERATE SNOW NEAR AREA LAKES IN MONTAGUE...NORTHEASTERN ERATH... HOPKINS...RAINS...LAMAR...PALO PINTO...COLLIN...FANNIN... ELLIS... DALLAS...HOOD...VAN ZANDT...DENTON...PARKER...DELTA... ROCKWALL...HUNT...SOMERVELL...KAUFMAN...JOHNSON...WISE...JACK... TARRANT...COOKE AND GRAYSON COUNTIES... At 1030 AM CST, there have been multiple reports of localized light to moderate snow downstream of area lakes. These areas of snow are usually narrow bands confined to areas near and south of area lakes. Visibility may be reduced to less than 1 mile in snow for brief periods of time. These rapidly changing conditions could surprise drivers. Slow down and drive with extreme caution. LES in Texas
  5. Flurrying here now. Or "dumping" as some might say on here
  6. Nothing gets a bust going like LWX issuing watches.
  7. Charlottesville is absolutely gorgeous in the snow, especially the campus.
  8. The NAM is always wet, Euro and GFS super dry
  9. LWX issuing the watch at the same time every model goes super dry. Absolute poetry
  10. I mean I just got in from a walk, sorry if this is old news. Upper NW near the MD border had snow/sleet on the ground while here we have wet mud. Interesting and only a couple miles difference.
  11. They created Short Pump so they can marry their cousins! (Because they're so attractive)
  12. This radar looks terrible, just ain't happening in DC.
  13. I'll give you YES, >0.05" of ice accretion at +2000
  14. Overcast, 34 degrees, I hurt my eyes straining looking for flurries
  15. An inch and quarter of freezing rain would be some pretty incredible stuff though. Holy shit I'm rooting for freezing rain these past two years have been rough.
  16. This is the weeniest image I've seen today and that's saying something
  17. Alright DC Metro folks, if we all stand facing north and blow really hard we can maybe draw that 1" up to our area tonight.
  18. I don't wanna jinx it but this has the makings of us getting a surprise half inch up here. Expect "we can pull 3"" out of this posts within 8 hours.
  19. I would kill a man for half of that.
  20. Probably still grappling with 850 issues lol
  21. I think any model hugging is a recipe for missing expectations. Better to kinda take a mix of all solutions, take note of trends, and pay attention to climo!! Like for yesterday models had DC getting like 2-4 as late as 36 hours ago, but if you've ever been in a borderline situation in DC you just knew that wasn't going to happen.
  22. Ehhh maybe, there has been some general hiccups across the models in terms of short range projections, but I think as a whole the models have been pretty spot on <48 hours out. I guess it's always smart to keep in mind climo 3-5 days out and expect things to change. At day 5 a model can show a threat but to ask it to set up ptype accurately seems to be stretch. I feel like we get hung up on snowfall and ptype at hr 120 and we miss the forest for the trees. I'm sure as hell guilty of it too.
  23. Just like with this past storm, I do believe the writing is on the wall for Saturday. NAM has been money starting trends at this time period this winter.
  24. Anyone else feel like this winter has been 10000x worse than last winter? I mean yeah last winter sucked, but we never really had a legit threat to track. This year it's been heartbreak after heartbreak. I'm kinda ready for spring guys...
  25. Really interesting stuff, the theme of Metro DC snow has always been razor thin since as long as I've been here, but back in the day it would break our way seemingly more often. I wonder what kind of affect global warming as a whole has on our region; we can't exactly afford a 1-2C degree increase in most storms, and it seems like we just can't push through any more to just get under freezing. I feel like I'm living in the southern St. Mary's Co of 20 years ago, if that makes any sense.
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