shaggy

These cells are small but have decent wind with them.

Looks pretty accurate when you see how the radar looks now. Got a MIL in upper Darby who thinks nothing is ever gonna happen there. Hope she is paying attention to what's over the state right now.

Need some calm weather and seas on June 2nd. Going on a half day trip on the carolina princess. We went out last year on the Capt stacy and did good but there were close 80 people onboard and at one point only 5 or so of us were up fishing the rest were laid out. We had 5 to 7 waves and an occasional bigger set closer to 8 to 10 feet.

My yard looks pitiful.

Yeah it was a dumb move forced by some idiots flooding the streets so they can get a selfie with a tornado in the background. Move over to let real scientist do their work and they won't have to pass in dangerous situations.

Got a guy from garner on another forum claiming he had a cantaloupe sized hailstone from this storm. Not sure they understand that's really really a big stretch. Might as well have said he saw unicorns!

Not smart but maybe the weekend storm chasers should have moved over and allowed real scientist the chance to do their jobs and get the data that may save lives?

I cant remember which year they started naming subtropical systems but I'd have to think that increases the chances of an early start to the season.

The ground scarring is pretty cool to see. Damaged homes not so much.

So does that mean they determined it was just one tornado instead of two. I heard Wendell and zebulon? Also confirmed one for Stanley county from the may 11th storms.

Sounds like there are going to be 2 confirmed tornados. One in Wendell and one in zebulon. Video of the tornado in Tyrell county is awaiting confirmation and a potential tornado in greene county northwest of snow hill.

Will be worth watching wral at 5pm I bet they're going to have some epic hail footage.

Some monster hail being shown back near garner.

Looks solid on radar as well

Slight risk up for Sunday so I guess we will see how much instability we can get going.

Luckily it looks as if cloud tops are warming as it begins to interact with land on the NW side of the core. Still gonna be a big hit for them.

This one escalated quickly. Just upped the winds to 135kts and has landfall sooner. Not sure of the population where its headed but it could be really bad.

TC Fani is looking to threaten India as a strong hurricane in a few days. Projected landfall of 110kts as of the latest advisory.

So figured I would revisit this thread since it's been active so far this spring. Last year was the exception to our research. I only saw 6 confirmed tornados for last year and we had florence. Florence was an anomaly all of her ow though.

As it turns out cyclone Kenneth went through a period of RI and made landfall as 140mph storm. Strongest in Mozambique history.

Comoros island is seeing gusts to 75mph as a 100kt cyclone misses them just north. Gonna make a second landfall around 115kts tomorrow.

In my experience any time you have clouds and rain before the main storms are suppose to arrive the severity of the event is questionable. It takes a great setup to get widespread severe in those situations but it does and can happen. Just gonna be a wait and see kind of thing.

The nam was pretty bullish on a big set of supercells last weekend developing ahead of the front and it was worse case and it didnt happen. When I see such extreme solutions I always suspect it as being bogus.

a bunch of years ago we had a "heavy shower warning" as a line of non-thunderstorm showers moved through and actually produced gusts to 70mph in greenville. I remember it because I was on my in to work when the warning came over the radio and we got nailed. It was winter time too though. The wording out of MHX seems to suggest heavy showers will still be enough to mix the LLJ down to the surface Friday evening. There is a typo where he says thursday instead of Friday. Additionally, the primary band of prefrontal moisture convergence will cross the area Thursday night and even though instability will be somewhat limited, showers and thunderstorms will bring the potential for damaging wind gusts as they readily mix the very strong LLJ winds to the surface.

Sounds like a windy day here in eastern nc friday even without the storms. A very strong LLJ (>60 kt around 925 mb) will develop across the area as the stacked low passes inland, riding northward along the Appalachian chain Friday and Friday night. LLJ winds will readily mix to the surface during the day, bringing strong/gusty winds, especially to coastal areas. A wind advisory or warning may be needed for at least some of the area. From a severe weather perspective: Instability is the question as a moist prefrontal airmass will keep skies cloudy and there is potential for showers ahead of the primary band of convection, both inhibiting factors for the development of surface based instability. Still, shear is strong enough to justify a continued slight risk of severe weather from SPC,