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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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sure jan.
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That is 10" in W. Thompson. That was the storm that had massive subsidence outside of those main mega bands and caused a serious snowfall gradient around them. Reports in the surrounding areas were similar with 12.5" in putnam and 10" in hampton. If it was just one rogue report i might consider tossing it but there were many that fell off sharply once you got out of that main banding. Also don't forget this was the storm where i had a very long conversation with @JC-CT about his 9" report in Columbia despite all the surrounding reports being in the 13-22" range. I believe him and thats why there is a hole over Columbia. Same thing with @metagraphica14.5" report in Salem. It can be very hard to discern whats legitimate and what's not especially in a storm like this thats long duration, lot of wind, and subsidence outside of banding. But i definitely think those reports are legit considering everything surrounding it is in the 10-13" range around Thompson. Here's the revised updated maps i just finished, ct, sne, tri-state are also updated https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-28-29-2022
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damn.
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oh gotcha, that makes more sense. That was basically unprecedented since record keeping. Even crazier that it happened it a near ratter winter that was on the level of 2001 or 2006 the way it started
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we should just make this futility thread considering who made it and the stupid title it has, just post all the garbage, meltdowns and whining and complaining in here, why not.
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I'm sure something like that will happen again, many times. 2022 wasn't too far off just a slightly toned down version. Looking at the track it still surprises me that heavy snows weren't thrown back much farther W, 976 right over the BM or a hair SE. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-26-27-2015
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That is low, re doing this now. just to your east was 18 and 20" in east lyme and 21.5 in Colchester. Thank you
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looks pretty sweet
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@metagraphica do you know exactly what you got on 1/28-29/22 blizzard?
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Jesus, better move to Barrow. I think 5/5 would be nice.... 1/1 spring and fall, assuming its deep winter.
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That was the implication from the start from Dr. Dewsh. Glad i never got invested in this thing at all, never stood a chance imo. And it's going...going...gone! It's outta here! Way over the green monster into the parking lot behind the trees down the sewer and into the atlantic The ens mean cut back from 1-2" to just a few tenths for this first system yet the total run mean has increased quite a bit, so thats good. GEFS/GEPS are similar
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2 left today, use em wisely
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I dunno it's awful when its too much wind and powder, 2003 and 2005 i managed 10-15" in both and it looked like it snowed about 4-6" with bare grass showing and random 3 foot drifts. And its not like it was .25/hr for 48 hours, there was a six hour period or so there with 1-3"/hr -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
A big overrunning WAA type of event with a huge uniform precip shield is my favorite. Like PDII was one of the best, everyone wins and i dont really care about the wind -
Such stark differences at 500 with only a 114hr lead. The GEM is on a whole nother planet and hasn't wavered, same with ICON...though that thing sucks usually the GEM is at least in the conversation.
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Today is the 15 year anniversary of one of CTs biggest snowstorms on record. BDL #1 all time with 24". And overall probably the 2nd biggest (for CT in general) in the past 30 years. Just finished redoing all these maps for accuracy and to include Lower Northeast view with climo sites. One of the most perfect radar evolutions for SNE and especially CT. This storm is actually the only storm i've done that has a 40"+ contour other than 1888. Savoy, MA 40.5", Florida 33", North Haven 30.5" https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-11-12-2011 Contours only
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you know whats worse. BDR. Only two 20" or more. and those include 16". 2013 30" #1 all time and 2003 #2 all time 20". Never recorded anything greater than 20" besides those two and nothing 16"+ since 2000.
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what about the 6Z euro
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yea AIENS as well, after we get this first turd out of the way, 6Z GFS was pretty sweet in clown range -
Watch this... 20"+ Jan 11-12th, 2011 Feb 8-9th, 2013 That's it 16"+ Feb 5th, 2001 Mar 4-6th, 2001 Feb 16-17th, 2003 Feb 1-3rd, 2021 And the two above, that's it Isn't that wild the difference, Taunton is like the snow capital of big ones compared to here. And we probably average the same amount of snow in a season, or close to it.
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My first thought is you might have a thing for CoastalWx
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Yep. Besides a few rogue runs of the operational GFS every model and ensembles want nothing to do with this. Maybe we see a light-mod event, maybe, but if you're looking for a consolidated full blown nor'easter from this, you'll have to keep looking.
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Meowww
