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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    sunday is done homie pack it in, stop chasing unicorns
  2. The 4 Seasons
  3. The 4 Seasons
    snowing good, everything coated good flake size. hopefully get an inch or so from this first one
  4. The 4 Seasons
    Pulling a Feb 5 2016 out of the hat Still cautiously optimistic on a moderate event Canada ftw
  5. The 4 Seasons
    i guess, its hard for me to trust the NAM at any point ill look at inside of 24hrs for trends and bufkit and whatnot but it fell flat on its face inside of 6 hours on 12/23
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Best dynamics are from Litchfield to Putnam to Morris and then the band shifts east and rips for an hour or two. its been all over the place so i wouldn't trust much of this but it really beefed up qpf across CT into LHV NJ from 6Z.
  7. The 4 Seasons
    That would be solid advisory level snowfall for Nrn Litchfield HRRR gone wild
  8. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah, same.
  9. The 4 Seasons
    yeah, RAPGW, 3Z was like nothing and 9Z went nuts with that band over CT
  10. The 4 Seasons
    The RGEM/Canadian is the only operational camp that never really wavered much with this system showing a moderate storm for Sunday/S. night and never really liked Saturday and kept it confined to the NW hills/Berkshires/Taconics, at least in the past several cycles. Of course the AI has been pretty steadfast as well with the GFSAI more bullish than the AIFS. Well see what ends up happening, there is still about 48-54hrs to go but i just wanted to note that.
  11. The 4 Seasons
    I was just looking back at a similar one from last year in early Feb that had like 6 snowstorms and 50" of snow I have saved. That worked out well. Sick run though
  12. The 4 Seasons
    There's a thread on it
  13. The 4 Seasons
    looking forward to it.
  14. The 4 Seasons
    and that doesn't include saturday, thats 24hr qpf.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    GFSAI 6Z would be warning snows back to the NY boarder...another good bump NW and beefed up is the takeaway though 00Z AIFS also bumped NW good trends along with the 6Z GFS. EC/EPS still the farthest se but going in the right direction just need to see more from that camp, besides the AI stuff.
  16. The 4 Seasons
    00Z ukmo for some laughs..
  17. The 4 Seasons
    it's over, it's done pack it in.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Lol I get severe whiplash reading through these pages. Still worth watching for a moderate event but obviously a big hit looks off the table. Still concerning EC wants nothing to do with it hopefully some kind of agreement at 00Z.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah I'm just as baffled as you are. everyone is on edge and a 6Z gfs run 90 hours out pushed them over I guess 00z trends were great overall I thought. Totally agree. Was worth watching then and worth watching now. We really need a KU for the sake of sanity of this place lmao
  20. The 4 Seasons
    you def poking all kinds of bears this morning, just one of those days
  21. The 4 Seasons
    2022?
  22. The 4 Seasons
    you're in a fine spot for a couple assuming we get a good band over CT but i can see it sucking for most of the state at low elevations with just white rain.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Eh, its one run, one cycle, with >84hrs to go. Lots of time to go. It's not what you want to see but i expect waffling and flip flopping to happen at this range. storms rarely trend consistently in one direction up until go time. Again, the euro will be important today. AIs barely budging and even trending west is also a good sign.
  24. The 4 Seasons
    pretty much, the AI models have been steady and consistent. Id like to think that was a fluke run but the GEFS jumped off a cliff and jumped way E, the mean cut down significantly.
  25. The 4 Seasons
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