The 4 Seasons

I think youre a lock for 8+. High end 20. Keep us updated, im very curious to see what happens in the hills tonight/tomorrow.

41 and moderate rain. Make it stop.

Map looks like shotgun spatter but aligns with what im thinking for the southern 4 counties. 0-3". 0" at the shore and low elevations and up to 3" at the higher elevations, surprised there is even an advisory with a map like this.

i saw, thanks, haven't updated an STD map yet. waiting on this storm to finish, but i saw your 2" and your seasonal on the New England Snow page.

Snowfall totals across the tri-state area

Tri-state snowfall totals.

Thats surprising coming from the HREF. I just don't buy much accumulation during the day Tuesday for a lot of the state outside of the NW/NE hills. I'd gladly take 6-8" here though, but that's not happening. Watches went to warnings for tolland and windham but watch remains for Hartford.

After seeing the 00Z suite and specifically the EC, i feel good about our map, in fact i even think it may be too high. Hopefully tomorrow trends better but i doubt it. Id be shocked if those watched in Fairfield, New Haven, Hartford dont get converted to advisories, the rest im guessing will be warnings.

Yeah i can confirm that here. Elevations from 100-550FT in Hamden picked up 1-2" here while 0-100FT were raining and in North Haven we were raining 0-200FT with rain and some snow mixed in >200FT for a while with no accumulation. It was really extreme down here.

Huh? What is clustered? I'm so confused by this entire post. It'll all be over soon Jerry then we snow Winter 23-24 , promise.

I can't wait to put this POS storm and winter season in the rear-view mirror, and never talk about it again. This map will need one more update then thats probably it, barring any sneaky interior elevation late Mar/April event. Fully expecting 0 here once again.

Second update and may be the final call. Based on everything ive seen this is probably the lowest map out there but this is what we are agreement on atm. A combination of latitude and elevation is going to help. I dont see much accumulating during the day on Tuesday especially for S CT at low elevations unless it really pounds. Between the setup, model agreement and trends and marginal air mass..it's obviously one of the hardest forecasts i've ever seen and i think most who are working on it would agree.

Snowfall totals from this pathetic event. We obviously went too high with the 3-7 area but nailed down the areas that would see accumulating snow with the CTRV/S CT seeing 0-1. NNH NFF and Litchfield in the 1-3 range.

This is the ultimate FU to an already horrific winter. I didn't think id see a winter worse than 19-20 for another 10 years or so, since it was almost as bad as 01-02. BDR has a high likelihood of breaking their all-time futility record. They are at 4.9" right now and 8.2" is the record, so they need 3.3" to tie that. Almost certainly not happening with this storm imo

When you throw darts all over the board you're bound to hit a bullseye once in a while

NAM bufkit should be a fun time, im sure. Do they come out at roughly the same time?

Yeah thats my #1 all timer, to this day haven't seen flake size that big and CG lighting like that so close to me. The positive bust was the cherry on top, i remember the NWS calling for rain 2-3 days prior and the day before a watch was issued for 4-7, most stations were going in that general range for S CT.

We got our ceremonious NAM run. Next one will shift it east with white rain and a coating.

Thats a Feb 01 type of explosive shillackin' I would certainly pay 100 for that to happen and i think, after this winter, many of us would

Surprised, you must live at a low elevation or on the southern side bc right at sleeping giant turning right from Mt Carmel Ave to RT10 i could see the rain change to snow right in front of my eyes. It was one of the wildest weather phenomenon i've ever experienced. Right in front of SG/Quinnipiac it was raining then i took right at the light it was snowing big fatties and all snow. I drove back and forth in and out of it twice. I thought maybe the changeover to snow was just happening but when i drove up the hill Todd/West Todd/Gaylord Mt. Road and drove back down 30 minutes later the same thing was occurring. There was a solid coating of snow on RT10 (on the grass and car tops) then a few hundred feet on Mt Carmel Ave all rain. Gaylord Mt. Road right at Broken Arrow at 550FT was gettin sketchy, heavy snow, the roads were completely covered...i was going to drive to prospect but didn't want to risk it in a rear wheel drive car. I posted some pics earlier in this thread from there. They probably got around 2" up there. I saw a report of 1.5" in Hamden from the NWS but dont know where it was exactly. Another report of 3" in Chesire from cocorahs

@tavwtbywhat did you end up with?

Yea its just a first call we wanted to get out there for socials. We'll do a map with exact numbers later tonight, theres just incredible uncertainty right now..the storm has a lot of potential so the ceiling is high. Obviously the better up and in you are the better and Winsted at 1K FT is a great place to be right now. 10 is really the bottom of the range, you have the potential to see 2 feet.

3k is lolz too where do I sign for delivery?

Hey can you post a few 700 FGEN panels from the ecmwf? Pivotal is only for paid and wxbell doesn't have them I wish they did. Probs have gone way up for the 00z cycle. Probably the highest yet for CT out of all the runs 50-60% 6"+ right down to the coast

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