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The 4 Seasons

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  1. The 4 Seasons
    No plugs getting pulled today, maybe 00z lmao. Seriously though i think were continue a trend on main globals through the day. Not buying into these crazy 8-14" runs but at least a moderate events appears likely now with an increasing ceiling. @Sey-Mour Snowill call you after 12z mesos.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    this morning/afternoon thing and sunday/sun night? quite a big gap (18-24hrs) to me they are two completely seperate events. i mean i get calling round 1 and round 2 today the same event. either way i hope if this storm hits tomorrow people delineate totals or putting together maps will be a nightmare. i didnt even think of combining both.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Beautiful sunrise, purple/pink/orange skies every thing is white. Winters back. 0.6" round 1
  4. The 4 Seasons
    6Z HRRR was a wet dream, hopefully 12z delivers and doesnt pull the rug back out on all models
  5. The 4 Seasons
    00Z last night went SE a bit, along with the GEM. It just looks like it didnt really bc thats counting total snowfall it had 2-4" for much of the state just for today, so adding both together. Sunday went se/drier a bit Still though it never whiffed and never was way SE like the euro/GFS/NAM runs Sat/Sun
  6. The 4 Seasons
    i just looked back at 12z runs looks like GFS/EC had it but it was mostly confined to W/NW CT. band ended up SE of what those modeled it
  7. The 4 Seasons
    yea with temps and ptype issues possible i think im done here. 0.6" from the first round, 7:00AM. Everythings white again, plows going by looks nice. seems like more but thats it.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    Canada oh, Canada RGEM/GEM consistenly had a solid hit run after run, pretty much since the rgem came into range and before that on the GEM. 00Z did waver slightly last night 00z run and ticked SE, then came back NW at 6Z.
  9. The 4 Seasons
    and to do it in the middle of a ratter no less.
  10. The 4 Seasons
    i just like saying that to you every year
  11. The 4 Seasons
    couple more decades than ill clear your bill
  12. The 4 Seasons
    NAM had it about everywhere past 2 days, can't miss when it buck shots every possible soln.
  13. The 4 Seasons
    personally i have high confidence it will. its all good but i think you cancelled this storm like 4 times and then youre back then 6 hours its over...take a break...itll snow again, probably sooner rather than later you're still paying the piper for 2015, but that times gotta come to an end
  14. The 4 Seasons
    you love to see it
  15. The 4 Seasons
    sunday is done homie pack it in, stop chasing unicorns
  16. The 4 Seasons
  17. The 4 Seasons
    snowing good, everything coated good flake size. hopefully get an inch or so from this first one
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Pulling a Feb 5 2016 out of the hat Still cautiously optimistic on a moderate event Canada ftw
  19. The 4 Seasons
    i guess, its hard for me to trust the NAM at any point ill look at inside of 24hrs for trends and bufkit and whatnot but it fell flat on its face inside of 6 hours on 12/23
  20. The 4 Seasons
    Best dynamics are from Litchfield to Putnam to Morris and then the band shifts east and rips for an hour or two. its been all over the place so i wouldn't trust much of this but it really beefed up qpf across CT into LHV NJ from 6Z.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    That would be solid advisory level snowfall for Nrn Litchfield HRRR gone wild
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah, same.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    yeah, RAPGW, 3Z was like nothing and 9Z went nuts with that band over CT
  24. The 4 Seasons
    The RGEM/Canadian is the only operational camp that never really wavered much with this system showing a moderate storm for Sunday/S. night and never really liked Saturday and kept it confined to the NW hills/Berkshires/Taconics, at least in the past several cycles. Of course the AI has been pretty steadfast as well with the GFSAI more bullish than the AIFS. Well see what ends up happening, there is still about 48-54hrs to go but i just wanted to note that.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    I was just looking back at a similar one from last year in early Feb that had like 6 snowstorms and 50" of snow I have saved. That worked out well. Sick run though
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