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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. Not really concerned with details given the time lead and everything else but thats a nice giant middle finger to CT Almost worse than 18Z...well come around tomorrow to more realistic soln, thermals are a concern though closer to the coast esp given the SST
  2. UKMET is solid warning snows for nearly all of CT, thermals be damned on that model. low 990s BM track 925s and 850s are plenty cold.
  3. dont remind me of that pos. that was literally a Jan 15 lite in the snowfall distribution across CT. Ended up with 7" all light snow, occasionally moderate. got stuck in between some bands where seymour/ bethany got 9.5-10" to my west and 12-15" just 5 or 10 miles to my east. trash
  4. looks like BOX pulled those graphics they made earlier, i think OceanStWx was right...probably a mistake..they now show <1 for the snow showers tomorrow
  5. thats good to know, based on the limited stuff ive seen i assumed we were the highest/bullish. i can easily see these numbers going up or adding an additional range in NE CT to MA hills. We'll see where were at tomorrow, nearly 72hrs to go from start time.
  6. First call. 3 days out, confidence is average. Some new maps and new details added for this season. Probably gonna change for final on Friday but this what we're thinking ATM. Confidence is much lower around NYC/LI/NJ but thats not a concern for this forum, probably gonna have to tighten up that gradient-ha
  7. ive already seen articles on MSNBC home page with this graphic in it. Probably auto generated AI written stuff, not sure
  8. Absolutely. Atm im more worried ab. what the gefs is showing than mixing for us. We'll see where were at tomorrow at this time- ha. But we still got nearly 84hrs to figure things out and tons more runs to go. Just like seeing the consistency and potential for a higher ceiling even if that means playing with fire (i.e. mixing)
  9. Good to see that spread tighten up quite a bit and drop a lot of those sheered out whiffs from last night. The Mean and the 50 percentile match up very close now.
  10. WXbell mean is a tick down from 12Z with about 4-6" for much of CT. Stormvista seems to be a step higher, which is usual for them
  11. It's wild how that absolutely mediocre mid-tier song blew up for no reason.
  12. Hello. I've been layin low for a while, recovering from the Rona, but i just wanted to post a graphic i recently did. This is the snowfall to date, through Jan 1st 2024, which for a lot of locations has been the lowest it's been in well over a decade or two. Somehow we are off to a worse start than 22-23, and even 14-15 and 15-16 in some cases. If there's any errors or typos lmk. Another interesting stat is this total snowfall for calendar year 2023. This is kind of a weird statistic, and i don't know if it's even officially kept at all but the total snowfall for calendar year 2023 for select locations is as follows: 2023 BDR: 4.1" 2023 BDL: 17.1" 2023 NYC: 2.3" 2023 BOS: 11.6" The pattern and snowfall opportunities are obviously looking up, i've been watching but i just wanted to post some stats going into the new year. Happy New Year! (***The lowest since column is really lowest or equal to)
  13. I remember that day very well. We had a busted rain/wet snow storm the day before. The hills of NW CT did pretty well, but it was a huge bust here. Ended up with 0.6" of slop after a fx of 4-8". Thanksgiving was cold and brown with flurries throughout the day. Happy Thanksgiving everyone
  14. Emergency meeting at noon tomorrow. Be there. Yeah i'm not totally familiar with the all the elevation change and micro climates of mass but i try to do my besst...im sure it will get better over time. This is the first season i have all of SNE, all of the tristate which is a whole 'nother animal, and CT. There also were not many reports since it was just a minor interior elevation event. I use this NWS analysis as a guide. And of course cocorahs/COOP/PNS. These two links are great. https://www.weather.gov/crh/snowfall https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html
  15. Snowfall totals from last nights snow-rain event, first one of the season with the new background template
  16. of course, BDR is ridiculous with snow reporting. Sometimes i don't even include the reports from there because they're just so bad. Like Jan 2016.
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