The 4 Seasons

GEM looks like dog shit, mostly rain. If this airmass didn't absolutely suck, we would have more wiggle room.

you've gotten so many 18-25"+ plus storms over the last 10 years and us central and W CT folks have got zero. Jan 15, Mar 18, Jan 22 come to mind

Yes. Central and W areas really haven't had a big dog since. At this point im just hoping for a 6" system but even that is like pulling teeth.

Yeah it was pretty awful, i call it the Lite-version of Jan 26-27, 2015. I'd love 7" of wind whipped cold snowfall, don't get me wrong but i was expecting a lot more from that one and got stuck in the middle of bands..areas to my west and east got more. And just like Jan 15, i missed the big dog 12-16 numbers by like 10 miles to my east And no, Litchfield/NW CT did not get a warning event for that one..but they've gotten plenty since. I'll just say it was the last big snowstorm..down to the coast where 95% of the population did hit that 6+ amount. It was the last time areas that did get warning snowfall for that event --- haven't seen one since.

a lot more decent hits for southern areas on i noticed compared to 00Z/18Z. Mean shifted south as well

If we do end up getting a region-wide warning event on Jan 28-29th it will have been exactly 2 years to the day since the last one in CT.

Models have precip knocking at our door to our SW by 12Z Sunday, thats a little over 24 hours from the start. If it takes that long to just "have a better idea" then thats some sad shit-ha. I think we'll start having a good idea what we're looking at by 00Z tonight. That's about D3. Btw i dig your sig, colorful and neat. On a side note, OKX does not seem to be interested in any snow right now. Even for their northern most zones its categorical Rain, with only the mention of a chance of snow at the end. I'd think they'd have at least Rain & Snow or Rain or Snow at this timeframe

Meh.

can't lose

go higher james

yeah i've been doing that as needed im at 99% as well. I'd love to see some recent images from that site from whatever model you want... if you can

Do you still have access to WSI model lab or whatever it was/is called? A lot of us used to have access to it but then got booted a few years ago. I know the RPM has been discontinued but i was wonder if you still can use that page and are allowed to post any images? I think it's The Weather Company now?

kiss of death for all of us.

??? For you thats about the optimistic thing i've heard. I wouldn't even say that at this time frame for SE interior MA.

69th percentile is the most imporant

No.

00Z EPS is even better than 18Z, 100% chance of 12+ Thanks bud, you've stolen enough snow for a decade, let us have a win

of course you did lmao. your the king weenie, and i respect that. I found out the GEM ran on off hours a few years ago but no one ever talks about it, i mean it only goes out to 84hrs so its kind of useless. And the only place i can find it is that UQAM Meteocentre site. I really hope you get dumped on from this storm, it's been too long for NYC/LI and the southern half of CT for a solid warning event.

Since we're posting weird and obscure model runs no one ever looks at... here's the 18Z GEM, looks a bit NW and more amped @MJO812

That's your job

No

GEM has 10-15" for CT!

Nobody posts the Meteocentre maps anymore so here's a little throwback GGEM

Came way north from 00Z, 00Z was completely OTS and a whiff for everyone..get whiplash looking at that model

Thanks for the reports. About what we expected with a bit more elevation component to it with the very warm sfc temps and difficulty sticking at low elevations.