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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    Looks like the whole cluster on the 6Z GEFS shifted NW
  2. The 4 Seasons
    The Euro has been adamantly stubborn, so well see if it ever catches on, or we reach a middle ground somewhere SE of the BM that teases everyone.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    not happening james
  4. The 4 Seasons
    That was a very good run overall. Solid 30-40mi bump N/NW in the closed Low at 500. Looks like the GEFS should bump NW early on. The Machine was only a tick or so better, funny how far SE that went and were watching it correct back NW after it ran over HFD a couple days ago
  5. The 4 Seasons
    Yep thats not even debatable since 22-23 was 01-02 level bad. 23-24 and 24-25 were also dog shit winters that didn't even crack 20" here. 21-22 was the last OK (at best) winter across the region.
  6. The 4 Seasons
  7. The 4 Seasons
    don't do it
  8. The 4 Seasons
    thanks. saw it did very good on the Jan 25-26th storm, just curious about it. too many models..
  9. The 4 Seasons
    What exactly does Weathernext2 show and where do you see it?
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Good news is i wont have to do a map for this stupid event did anyone in CT even get measurable? We'll find out tomorrow, im sure Norfolk 2SW got a half inch somehow.
  11. The 4 Seasons
    Oh yeah the mean went up on the EPS and AIEPS with several big hits in there about 8-10 on the EPS
  12. The 4 Seasons
    you have some weenievista maps, wxbell isn't out yet
  13. The 4 Seasons
    Euros been out for a while, its worse than 18Z but better than 12Z. still off shore
  14. The 4 Seasons
    Overall the EC is worse than 18Z but better than 12Z The CMC para is a tick SE of the OP, but improved a lot from its 12Z run.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    Icon is by far the worst global and the NAM at 84 or extrapolating past 84 should be weighted 0%. I'd say that regardless it's a terrible model in the short term let alone 60 or 84hrs out. The Euro/UK being OTS is the real concern, not the NAM/Icon powerhouse.
  16. The 4 Seasons
    GEFS 4-run trend
  17. The 4 Seasons
    definitely better NW spread on the mean as well.
  18. The 4 Seasons
  19. The 4 Seasons
    i've noticed that with other storms like Jan 25-26th but isn't always the case like Jan 18-19th, they latched on to that earlier than OPs
  20. The 4 Seasons
    lol
  21. The 4 Seasons
    i think they all did from what ive seen. was just looking at the GFS/GEM/NAM they were all pretty bad
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Haven't been paying much attention to the epic fog threat, so i have no idea but. Vis on surrounding ASOS have gone up for the most part around here, but there seems to be some pockets of more dense fog <1SM
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah, lots of wasted potential. Starting with that Feb 1-2 tease.
  24. The 4 Seasons
    my gut is this is the typical 6/18Z flopping we just saw with Feb 16-17 coastal and Feb 1-2 SE scraper. Hopefully im wrong on that and 00Z continues a W trend.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    Love you Jackass
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