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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. don't forget MOGREPS and ICONEPS tbh i've been looking at them, out of curiosity.
  2. not consistently though it was really just 12Z today, if you're talking OP models. 12Z GEM yesterday had no storm, 00Z started to come on board. GFS has had a storm but kinda waffling a bit between a scraper and more of a direct hit. At this range i was more focused on the ensembles and 12Z GEFS was pretty tepid and SE, as well as the EPS. With some amped/W members in there. GEPS probably had the best mean but still well SE of the BM
  3. I've been leaning that way, doesn't mean it still can't happen but i think its more likely a whiff/scraper than not, 40/60. Icon also went from a major storm at 12z yesterday, to a complete whiff open wave last night, back to a major snowstorm at 12z today so a lot still needs to be worked out. Still the euro not biting was a big flag.
  4. i literally spit out my drink when i read this. thanks
  5. First, final and only call for tomorrow's light snow/mix/rain
  6. I just finished March 4-6th, 2001. I'm never revisiting that one ever again. What a complete mess on the PNS across all CWAs. COOP stuff is all over the place. Its a 65 hour storm so different measuring techniques caused massive differences in totals. The PNS has totals that dont make sense and end at 7AM Tue or Tue night or Wed. All the climo sites are probably wrong. BDR too high? BDL definitely too low. ORH makes sense but Will says its too low bc they stopped measuring. SWCT low totals are suspicious. etc etc. A nightmare. But i feel decent about it and increased the ranges significantly and leaned aggressive. Ironically the totals around here line up perfectly 15.5-16" I will post on March 4th.
  7. more than 6 hours? That's a shame since it's their #1 Edit: also that would mean NYC has a higher #1 than BOS, whats BOS #2? 78 with 27.1? I can def fix that 18 in Marshfield if you think it's too low. Their final PNS on Feb 19th has Marshfield 18" there is no times next to the numbers so its assumed everything is final, doesn't mean it still can't be wrong
  8. If only the Canadian Parallel wasn't the Canadian Parallel
  9. AIGFS is big still, goes over GON this time instead of HFD lol GFS similar to 12Z came NW from the 18Z run which was a scraper
  10. I mean it was pretty great for most, the storm and the whole month.
  11. Happy hour run hittin the sauce a little early
  12. leave it to you to calculate that. depends how you define a coastal. Dec 2nd was a pretty strong low over just inside the BM, rain for most but N & NW MA got warning snowfall Then you have a couple weaker ones like Dec 14th and Jan 18-19th systems.
  13. I mean he did and the context is 171HR frame of the Icon. I'm just wondering what the hell that came from, im guessing it was fed into AI and it spit back out something that looks cooler based on the prompt
  14. tell me about it, this is lights out here for sure but still have interest in Fri but thats probably nothing as well other than some mixed slop
  15. Curious where you get these before the CLI comes out? OKX never plotted them on the interactive map
  16. interesting never heard that before. Yeah, white rain is a common term on here. It's the worst.
  17. lol you never heard that term before? i know you've had to. Snow that falls but doesnt accumulate, might as well be rain. hence, white rain.
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