The 4 Seasons

OKX AFD is historic and weenied out

congrats, is it ok i steal your snow and get 20-25" so we're even at the end of the storm?

quite a remarkable AFD. Never seen them mention 3 feet amounts other than the storm we don't talk about here

OKX is now forecasting a top 10 all timer for NYC. This 20" amount would be tied with Boxing Day at #7.

33 and light rain. About 2-3" snow depth, wish we coulda went into this on Feb 1 with that storm and 15" depth but its all good at least weve had continuous pack for a month

2+ feet at 10:1 will work

Never seen over 17ish... Feb 2001 March 2001 and Feb 2021 was the biggest both were around 16-17", rest i missed out of the state

2011 or 2013 coming? Either way I hope to see the first 20 burger in my life, we hope. I'll be satisfied with anything over a foot especially considering where we were 3 days ago

Hole Lee Shit New BOX/OKX maps. Blizzard warnings expanded. We're gonna get whacked

1e ' '

Hanbury and Darfford seem low.

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It's amazing to see this whole forum lit up with excitement and fully nudity for the second time this season It's been a horrific 3 years or more for some, we deserved it

First and hopefully final call. Anything major changes will issue an update tomorrow AM. Went with 1-2 feet region wide, lesser amounts farther NW. Locally higher amounts 2-3 feet possible highlight in text for near Monmouth/Ocean and SE MA Ply/Bristol

We do, uh, have a rather big storm on our hands... First call and hopefully the final. Obviously sided with the more aggressive guidance with a general 1-2 feet across the area, lesser amounts in NW MA. Highlighted potential for 2+ feet in SE MA and central NJ around Monmouth/Ocean where models are hitting those areas hard. The track, development and intensity of this storm closely resembles Feb 2013 and 2006, these were also storms showing up on CIPS analogs frequently so they were used as a guide. Think this has the potential to produce 2-3 feet in some of the more intense banding. We're only 30-36hrs away now so i didn't want to have to update this just to increase it and feel mostly confident in verifying. Likely a historic, record breaking storm for some.

the funny thing no one knows really how big or serious this storm is or even talking about it that much. Compared to Jan 25-26th, there was so much hype and news coverage. Obviously it was a much bigger storm overall that was visibly trackable across the US while this hasn't even developed yet. Not to mention it affected NM to ME. Just seeing the difference is pretty incredible but it makes sense.

RAP GW That thing is tucked and just crawls E/NE QPF and its not even done

If anyone has snowfall totals for this in SNE that they didn't post and send already lmk, ill have a map done probably after this storm, gonna be a while.

I'm doing maps now, will have out shortly, lets just say it won't be conservative. Too close in and want it to be a final, if possible.

BOX seems the office conservative with this one and OKX seems to be the aggressors, based on the maps theyve put out, timing and now warnings, BOX still holding off.

SREFs for a laugh..Elbow runner

That's the place to be with this storm

Hopefully another 6-12er after this. Just looking for one big one in March to give this winter an A and at least 55 60".. assuming this one works out OK

The GFS machine is nearly identical, mostly noise if anything. GFS is a tick west and more robust. 15-30 region wide except N/NW MA berks cuts off sharply

I mean you're the glass half full king you stay pessimistic but we love it. We do, uh, have rather big storm on our hands..