The 4 Seasons

i know exactly where that is. 40" for the win here.

No you dont. I miss the RUC.

Yeah i remember 2/5/16 modeling, ECMWF was steady as she goes and the last to the party. IIRC the GFS picked up a major hit first with a susbstanial shift to the left. This was the wave on a front storm with an almost vertical qpf gradient.

So, I am angry because i typed a single sentence with no explitives, no name calling, no exclamations, no nothing? He needs to clear up with word "developed" and the word "moniker" apparently. Either way this is a fruitless endeavor and does not contribute to the topic of thread. With that being said the hills of NW and NE CT are still in the game for a few inches of accumulating snow. It's beginning to look pretty bleak for the valleys and coastal CT. We still have a shot though, just need an obvious trend SE in tonights 00Z runs

Absolutely. Plenty of cold to work with as well. We are entering a pattern akin to late December.

According to who? If you're just going to throw out facts then back it up like i did.

Um because it's called the GFS and not the FV3? NCEP, creators of the model, and pretty much every model site i use says GFS and not FV3.

The local forecast offices, at least in the northest, take that model somewhat seriously and do reference it often in winter forecasts i noticed. Which, is pretty sad. Because it really is the worst.

Wow you put the ARPEGE above the GFS and GEM. Does that mean you take it seriously and look at it regularly for forecasting? I was just referring to mid/long range global models so that would mean RGEM/NAM are cut and ARPEGE is #3 on your list? Damn...

yeah thats it, it says METEO-FRANCE, it's been on Meteocentre since it came out a few years ago.

So it's like... 1. Euro | | | | | | | | | 2. GFS 3. GEM 4. UKMET

Deep Thunder? RPM? SREF?

Yeah, it's never ever referenced on AFDs. AFDs i really only ever seen the GFS/GEM/ECMWF/NAM. Usually the UKMET is not referenced, sometimes i see it though.

The ARPEGLOGA? It's pretty snowy for most. Right over the BM, similar to EPS.

You've never seen the ICON referenced? People talk about it all the time on these threads, weenies and mets...mostly weenies though or weenie mets LOL

If the GFS is crap now, the GEM is not really taken serious, the UK is the crazy uncle with wild swings and solutions, and the Icon is pretty bad what good global models are there to look at now besides the ECMWF? Being as bad as it is, it the GFS still #2 though? I'd like to hear some thoughts on this.

I consider myself pretty smart, I graduating college with a B.S. in meteorology with a 3.7GPA and I'm not ashamed to say i don't understand many of the words he uses. Therefore i don't understand the sentence, the paragraph and the whole post in general and don't feel like looking up word after word. I do appreciate the time and energy he takes to make thoughtful and in depth analysis, though.

just like seeing those pretty colors of watches warnings and advisories, if they're up all of a sudden its more real.

good thing we changed back the clocks last Saturday or we would have an extra hour of sun too...

I wouldn't say that's true for this storm, those numbers look completely reasonable for the interior.

Why not Weathermodels.com? That's where Maue went to and it appears to have much better maps than wxbell. Last time i logged into weatherbell late last season they were transfering over to the new graphical interface and it was absolutely horrid with many parameters completely gone.

These are some of the most impressive numbers ive seen in a long time around these parts, certainly higher than any of the last few previous storms.

lol no. I mean it really REALLY looked to me like nice big dendrites blowing in the wind. Plus i thought the ground appeared to be whitening up.

well i guess i was fooled too, i never really look at night cams nor do i own one.

Time to invest in a Life Straw.