The 4 Seasons

please send me your reports for CT, thankyou

Well that was fun here...

Diarrhea

Poof

Rain falling at BDR and the extreme SW and SE CT shoreline. Sometimes its helpful to live 5-10 miles inland even though im still close to sea level. Light snow. 32F

If this is what youre expecting an advisory is real real stretch

It's high treason to speak against your king.

lol

yeah i know what you mean, and theres definitely one storm in the 2004-2006 time frame that immediately comes to mind that had a convective pop corn like looking radar, i just cant think of exactly when it was and its driving me crazy

i can think of some examples, i remember a storm in 2004-05 that i scored 3.5 from a shredded mess. Apr 2003 Jan 2005 Mar 21 2018 come to mind. But yeah its pretty fugly

heavy snow continues, closing in on an inch. Pretty impressed so far. Quite an ugly way to get to an advisory event but who cares.

Yeah it does, hoping for feet and feet of snow..especially for you

under the better part of the swizzy, +SN

white rain. epic.

61 pages of epicness

Probably the first and only call ill make on this one. If this look better (or worse) at 12Z i may update it. Pretty much a non-event the way i see it. Can't rule out a few isolated 2 or 3" amounts in interior southern connecticut. Right now, areas near the NY boarder look the most favorable on modeling.

OKX and BOX hold on the advisories but definitely cut back in the wording and amounts. From 2-4 locally higher in the BOX area to 2-3 and "up to 3" in the OKX zones except fairfield and new haven where they continue 2-4". Definitely boarderline to keep the advisories going. From the OKX AFD: Much of the frontogenetic and thermal forcing with the coastal low will remain offshore, while the precipitation shield expands to the NW of the low as the upper low approaches from the west. In some ways, this is taking on the appearance of a trowal, but in a much broader scope. Guidance continues to trend downward with liquid equivalent amounts generally less than a half an inch. Furthermore, the WPC Superensemble snowfall amounts have also dropped with the best chance for advisory level snows remaining across western Passaic county in NJ and Orange county in NY. Elsewhere across the advisory area, snowfall will generally be in the 1 to 3 inch range. While dropping the advisory was contemplated across eastern areas, ensemble mean guidance was just below advisory level snows in these areas. Should this trend continue with the 12Z cycle, this will have to be revisited.

Certainly wouldnt write it off completely yet. The RGEM is being a bit stubborn, for the CT/RI/SE MA area it did cut back a bit from 00Z but is still the most bullish with the system.

NAM isn't a piece of guidance, it's a piece of shit. (but i do agree with the sentiment)

Seymour - 1, Tolland - 0

A marginally improved 3K/12K NAM. Time to flush this turd down the toilet and move on. C-2 for most of CT seems reasonable at this point.

a couple runs ago you were in that 16-20 range. RPM is good for a chuckle. 00Z was a complete dud, then 3Z drops 20+ LOL

From BOX and OKX

now that the GFS16 has been running on time and 4X/day on pivotal, ive been paying more attention that

Feb 5th 2001 FYI