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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    18Z GFS looks pretty similar to 12Z to me, a hair south at the sfc and a tick colder at the sfc. Mid levels looks roughly the same
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Latest OKX/BOX. Looks reasonable to me at this lead time. I'd probably go in the 1-3" for most of CT atm, though i haven't looked at it too closely.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    It does, just speaking in general terms...meaning that it doesn't really give me much confidence if it adds weight, or lack thereof, to the other globals.
  4. The 4 Seasons
    Icons mostly snow for CT. I don't know about it's skill score but i trust it the least over EC/UK/GEM global suite.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    WTF is that, jesus.
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Def not over yet, according to the NWS it's still 4-5 days out...
  7. The 4 Seasons
    NAM does what the NAM does. Full send mode through ALY, tossed.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    The nogaps navgem whatever they’re calling it theses days is like the global brother of the RPM, deep thunder is the red headed step child
  9. The 4 Seasons
    I never really thought of that with sky scrapers the towers must had quite a bit more snow up there at 1400ft
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Had zr but it’s so close to freezing that All the roads were just wet
  11. The 4 Seasons
    I’ve heard dirty water before but not the other one. I work at a retail shop on south Main Street 32f the whole way here until I hit Waterbury it got up to 33 and 34 now here 270ft
  12. The 4 Seasons
    yeah and im going in the ghetto side of town too. trust me i know. i spend half my time there...
  13. The 4 Seasons
    im headed up to waterbury right now a little nervous about the side streets as most towns around here ar hovering at 32F
  14. The 4 Seasons
    light freezing rain
  15. The 4 Seasons
    It's in the low 30s up and down the CT river valley right now, for most.
  16. The 4 Seasons
    31F here now. precip moving in uhhhoh
  17. The 4 Seasons
    Crepon said that Boyle taught them in his class, they did some labs and stuff with it etc... It's a good tool everyone forecasting should use it, trouble with it though you can only use American models, GFS, NAM 3k etc.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Eisenson doesn't know how to use it though
  19. The 4 Seasons
    Freezing Drizzle reported at BDL right now
  20. The 4 Seasons
    Which is a damn shame, i had to learn about how to use bufkit through friends at school, asking questions online and trial and error and just becoming familiar with it over the years... There should be an entire semester course on BUFKIT imo, you could easily fill up the whole time with everything you can do with that tool.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    Coolwx on the other hand plots omega with actual temperature, 0C, -12C and -18C...between -12 and -18 is supposed to be the optimal region where you want high omega.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Right, temp. It's not the actual temperature, but the optimal temperatue for snow growth. So you want those numbers (temperature) to line up with the best lift (omega) + RH. This is my understanding of it, someone can correct me if im wrong.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Non sequitur It's Dec 13th..
  24. The 4 Seasons
    FYI your sig is full of dead space at the end it, it makes your posts very long with white blank space.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    Imagine if that was all snow!!!! This would be 40-50" easy! And with temps in the teens you can automatically add 30:1 ratios for the entire event. This would yield 120-150". Throw in some good banding and thundersnow and would we probably be at around 200" and that's being very conservative.
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