The 4 Seasons

Wed-Thu blizzard. This is probably the earliest i've made a first call with around 3 days to go. Updates to follow. Capped it at 20 as i dont like going into the 20s, 24, 30 etc until we get close to the event and see "the whites of its eyes" as they say. Plenty of time to adjust. I like when maps take 20 minutes to make its nice and simple. That may change though.

Its been a solid 2 years for us in the tri-state area, S RI and SE MA. Going on 3 years for anything 6+ in MET winter.

Sorry about that. Location perspective wording. You're location is so far north you can basically consider it CNE, or at least on the southern edge of CNE, northern edge of SNE. Its subjective. Still feel the 00Z EC was essentially the same as 12Z overall slightly less on the Nrn edge. But you didnt get that solid bump north you were waiting for...yet. Plenty of runs to go.

Light snow event for CT. NAM being the most robust and coldest of the models at 00Z. Bufkit showing some pretty decent lift in the DGZ and apparent on the GFS as well. GEM and RGEM are the warmest with the EC somewhere in between. The main problem i see is going to be the BL temps near the shore and at lower elevations. This will be a mainly grassy surface type of event for most unless you are 4 or 500ft and above. This will be occuring at all daylight hours but the thing we have going for it is that we are near the lowest sun angle of the season. Unless the colder solns verify and we can get some decent mod rates for a while i expect the shore to be mainly white rain. This is a general C-2 event but cant rule out the possibility of some favored hill towns in central connecticut seeing 3". Everything is done by 5-7PM as the colder air comes rushing in setting the state for a potential block buster event across the region.

im about the same its just a little more nuanced, i split the c-2 into two ranges is all.

lol sounds familiar.

i believe the v16 is the new, called the para on TT. The past two days its been consistently north with the Wed storm. I really havent been paying too much attention to it until Dec 5th event, no real storms to track.

Same. Not sure how you can go with a model that is an extreme outlier, not to mention its newer counterpart is in the main camp. Are you guys doing a map for SCTWX?

10:1 map for the s

No big changes on the Euro, consistency. Just mainly noise for this lead time. Another great run in the books. GFS vs. the world. Tossed. Still in the trash can for now.

Thats a good order, i can agree with that. EC is still the king regardless of anecdotal evidence. Re: the PARA, i dont know the exact time it comes out but i know its very late. It has not jumped on the S wagon like the op. Euro gonna be a big hit again, looks great at 72. I'm planning on doing a first call map for Wed tonight after the 00z suite finishes and a final and only call map for Tomorrows light snow event.

NAM too.. RPM was the most reasonable and surprisingly run to run consistent . That was rpm storm I think

First "death band" siting

U beat me to it. It was a solid jump north on the ec/uk the night of, near whiffing CT and s ri and mass then a huge jog N pushed us into 12+ amounts. Warnings hoisted last minute while it was already snowing in NYC. Just as will said didn't make it far enough N to your area last minute, still think u got like 6 tho no?

Might be getting my entire 19-20 snowfall in 6 hours. We deserve it after the last two yrs.

That might be the best video ever, lol. Here's...the demon...were gonna whacked...EVEN STRONGER.

Very Sim to 00z awt

No surprise EC right on track.

EC slightly improved for Mon. An inch or two on non paved seems plausible across most of CT.

According to Oceanstwx the new gfs is performing as well or better than the op across the board for scores. It stayed in line with the foreign models at 00z. They stopped running it at 12z though from what I can find.

I don't doubt EC will be much change from 00z French Montana ftw. Also, not to mention the new GFS never went south like the op. Unfortunately it doesn't run at 12z though..

This, just showing support. Id never recommend using the icon over the gfs, its just on its own right now.

ICONs north as well. The world vs. GFS.