thunderbolt

To me this looks like a basin wide

This is going to help

That should help out Regions 4 and 3.4

I think the question at hand is what is going to be the strength

Andy Hazelton @AndyHazelton · Follow As we head into mid April, the EC ensemble is predicting another period of basin-wide trade wind reduction across the Equatorial Pacific. It's not a massive WWB, but this will probably be another nudge of the coupled atmosphere/ocean state towards El Niño as the year goes on.

Does region 1/2 have to be .5 stronger then region 3.4 And I always thought region 1.2 is more volatile than any of the regions always up and down

What is the Definition of East based

Sounds like new town and part of Falls Township got hit pretty good At least according to the fire scanner

The BOM Model is notorious for being too aggressive case and point last year at this time

At least according to this graph this appears to be a basin wide El Niño by November Like everybody else says it’s just wait and see will definitely have a better answer by June or July in my opinion to see where this is possibly going

The Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) has become the de-facto standard that NOAA uses for classifying El Niño (warm) and La Niña (cool) events in the eastern tropical Pacific. It is the running 3-month mean SST anomaly for the Niño 3.4 region (i.e., 5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW). Events are defined as 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month periods at or above the +0.5o anomaly for warm (El Niño) events and at or below the -0.5 anomaly for cool (La Niña) events. The threshold is further broken down into Weak (with a 0.5 to 0.9 SST anomaly), Moderate (1.0 to 1.4), Strong (1.5 to 1.9) and Very Strong (≥ 2.0) events. For the purpose of this report for an event to be categorized as weak, moderate, strong or very strong it must have equaled or exceeded the threshold for at least 3 consecutive overlapping 3-month periods.

El Niño - 26 La Niña - 25 Weak - 11 Moderate - 7 Strong - 5 Very Strong - 3 Weak - 11 Moderate - 6 Strong - 7 1952-53 1951-52 1957-58 1982-83 1954-55 1955-56 1973-74 1953-54 1963-64 1965-66 1997-98 1964-65 1970-71 1975-76 1958-59 1968-69 1972-73 2015-16 1971-72 1995-96 1988-89 1969-70 1986-87 1987-88 1974-75 2011-12 1998-99 1976-77 1994-95 1991-92 1983-84 2020-21 1999-00 1977-78 2002-03 1984-85 2021-22 2007-08 1979-80 2009-10 2000-01 2010-11 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2008-09 2014-15 2016-17 2018-19 2017-18 2022-23

I know it’s way out there I’m just showing example of a possible basin Wide But once again I don’t trust way too early

And

I’m right around the corner from you in Levittown

14/15? The year 2013/14 was neutral

Really Give this guy a metal